Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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FNUS73 KTOP 171600
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIA FRI BURN...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1100 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST BY 2
PM. BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IF IT HOLDS
TOGETHER WOULD MOVE INTO THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 1 PM AND 2 PM AND
CONFIDENCE IS 40 PERCENT OF OCCURRENCE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /33800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /65300 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /2500 KNOT-FT/.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...GOOD /44700 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...WOYNICK
REQUESTED BY...ADAM RODGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150417.BIAFR.02/TOP






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