River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 040059
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:57pm EDT Sunday, May 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /   4.3 /   4.1 /   4.0
:     May 03   /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.7
:     May 04   /   3.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.6 ft at 845pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER CNFP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.4
.E2 : May 05 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E3 : May 06 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E4 : May 07 : /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E5 : May 08 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E6 : May 09 : /   2.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     May 06   /  0.10
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /   7.7 /   7.1 /  11.3
:     May 02   /  14.5 /  10.0 /   6.4 /  14.0
:     May 03   /  17.4 /  11.5 /   8.4 /  16.9
:     May 04   /  20.7 /  15.3 /  11.7 /  18.2
:     May 05   /  23.5 /  18.1 /  14.1 /  17.3
:     May 06   /  20.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /   4.4 /   4.2 /   4.0
:     May 03   /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.5
:     May 04   /   3.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.4 ft at 815pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER OPLP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E2 : May 05 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E3 : May 06 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E4 : May 07 : /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   2.9
.E5 : May 08 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E6 : May 09 : /   2.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.12 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     May 06   /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /   8.2 /   7.3 /  11.4
:     May 02   /  15.0 /  11.1 /   6.6 /  14.3
:     May 03   /  18.1 /  11.7 /   7.9 /  17.4
:     May 04   /  21.5 /  14.4 /  11.0 /  18.2
:     May 05   /  23.2 /  16.2 /  12.9 /  16.9
:     May 06   /  20.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
:     May 03   /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.1
:     May 04   /   3.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.9 ft at 815pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER CLLP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E2 : May 05 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E3 : May 06 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4 : May 07 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E5 : May 08 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E6 : May 09 : /   3.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.19 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     May 06   /  0.14
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /   8.2 /   7.4 /  11.4
:     May 02   /  15.1 /  11.5 /   6.3 /  14.5
:     May 03   /  18.6 /  12.4 /   8.7 /  17.7
:     May 04   /  21.7 /  14.6 /  11.1 /  19.2
:     May 05   /  23.5 /  14.9 /  12.0 /  17.1
:     May 06   /  20.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /   6.3 /   6.2 /   5.9
:     May 03   /   5.8 /   5.6 /   5.5 /   5.5
:     May 04   /   5.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.4 ft at 815pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER STSP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /   5.2 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E2 : May 05 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.8
.E3 : May 06 : /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.6
.E4 : May 07 : /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E5 : May 08 : /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.3
.E6 : May 09 : /   4.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.45 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.07
:     May 06   /  0.18
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /   9.6 /   8.9 /  12.8
:     May 02   /  17.2 /  12.2 /   6.7 /  15.9
:     May 03   /  20.7 /  13.5 /   9.1 /  19.0
:     May 04   /  23.3 /  15.8 /  11.5 /  20.2
:     May 05   /  25.0 /  16.6 /  13.3 /  18.4
:     May 06   /  21.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /   9.9 /   9.9 /  10.8
:     May 03   /   9.9 /  10.2 /  10.0 /  10.5
:     May 04   /   9.9E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 10.1 ft at 700pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER MAXP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /  10.3 /  10.0 /   9.9
.E2 : May 05 : /   9.9 /  10.2 /   9.9 /   9.8
.E3 : May 06 : /   9.8 /  10.0 /   9.8 /   9.8
.E4 : May 07 : /   9.8 /   9.9 /   9.8 /   9.7
.E5 : May 08 : /   9.7 /   9.8 /   9.7 /   9.7
.E6 : May 09 : /   9.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     May 06   /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  10.2 /   9.5 /  13.1
:     May 02   /  17.9 /  11.4 /   6.1 /  16.5
:     May 03   /  21.1 /  13.4 /   8.5 /  19.3
:     May 04   /  23.6 /  15.0 /  10.4 /  19.8
:     May 05   /  25.2 /  17.0 /  13.4 /  19.1
:     May 06   /  22.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /  12.4 /  11.4 /  12.6
:     May 03   /  12.3 /  11.9 /  11.6 /  12.2
:     May 04   /  11.2E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 12.3 ft at 700pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER CHRP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /  12.1 /  11.6 /  11.1
.E2 : May 05 : /  11.2 /  12.0 /  11.2 /  10.9
.E3 : May 06 : /  11.0 /  11.5 /  10.8 /  10.5
.E4 : May 07 : /  10.6 /  11.2 /  10.5 /  10.3
.E5 : May 08 : /  10.4 /  10.9 /  10.3 /  10.1
.E6 : May 09 : /  10.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.20 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.05
:     May 06   /  0.14
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  10.2 /   9.2 /  12.7
:     May 02   /  17.5 /  12.3 /   6.9 /  16.1
:     May 03   /  20.9 /  14.0 /   9.4 /  19.0
:     May 04   /  23.5 /  15.6 /  11.2 /  20.1
:     May 05   /  25.1 /  16.8 /  13.4 /  18.7
:     May 06   /  22.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /  11.7 /  11.2 /  11.5
:     May 03   /  11.7 /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.5
:     May 04   /  11.6
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 11.5 ft at 815pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER ELZP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /  11.5 /  11.2 /  11.0
.E2 : May 05 : /  11.0 /  11.4 /  11.0 /  10.8
.E3 : May 06 : /  10.9 /  11.2 /  10.8 /  10.6
.E4 : May 07 : /  10.7 /  11.0 /  10.6 /  10.4
.E5 : May 08 : /  10.5 /  10.8 /  10.5 /  10.3
.E6 : May 09 : /  10.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.39 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.07
:     May 06   /  0.19
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  10.2 /   9.1 /  13.0
:     May 02   /  18.0 /  12.3 /   7.5 /  16.6
:     May 03   /  21.4 /  14.8 /   9.7 /  19.5
:     May 04   /  23.7 /  15.5 /  10.4 /  20.1
:     May 05   /  25.7 /  17.6 /  13.8 /  18.8
:     May 06   /  22.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02           /  12.2 /  12.3 /  12.2
:     May 03   /  12.2 /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.9
:     May 04   /  12.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.0 ft at 745pm EDT on Sun, May 3
:
.ER BDDP1 20150504 Z DC201505040057/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :         /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E2 : May 05 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E3 : May 06 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E4 : May 07 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E5 : May 08 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E6 : May 09 : /  12.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  0.46 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.09
:     May 06   /  0.21
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01           /  10.3 /   9.2 /  13.5
:     May 02   /  18.2 /  12.4 /   7.1 /  16.6
:     May 03   /  21.6 /  14.5 /   9.0 /  19.3
:     May 04   /  24.0 /  16.1 /  11.5 /  20.6
:     May 05   /  25.8 /  17.6 /  13.9 /  18.7
:     May 06   /  22.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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