Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KMKX 040144
AFDMKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
844 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...EXPECT UPSTREAM LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO
CONTINUE PROGRESSING E-SE AT LEAST INTO WRN CWA LATE IN THE EVE
TOWARD MIDNIGHT. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THIS FRONT
AND EWD MOVING MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE IN WESTERN IA SHOULD RESULT IN
MOST AREAS RECEIVING SOME QPF OVERNIGHT INTO MON MRNG. BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS PWAT VALUES AROUND 75TH PERCENTILE FOR
MAY. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY BUT MUCAPE STILL
AROUND 2000 J/KG AHEAD OF THIS LINE INTO SOUTHWEST WI. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SOME LARGER HAIL AND/OR GUSTY WINDS IN THE WEST.

&&

.AVIATION/06Z TAFS/...EXPECT UPSTREAM LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
WEAKEN SOMEWHAT BUT STILL AFFECT MOST TAF SITES DURING THE LATE
NIGHT AS THEY BECOME MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS. NORTHERLY WINDS
BEHIND COLD FRONT AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF
LOWER CIGS LATE TNGT OR MON MRNG.

&&

.MARINE...EXTENDED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR NORTH ZONE EARLIER
THIS EVENING DUE TO LINGERING PRESSURE GRADIENT. HOWEVER WINDS
HAVE BEEN COMING DOWN SINCE 01Z SO WL LET ADVY EXPIRE AT 03Z. WILL
NEED TO WATCH FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS LATER
TONIGHT INTO MON MORNING AS WINDS TURN MORE NORTHERLY BEHIND
APPROACHING FRONT.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LMZ643.

&&

$$
UPDATE...MBK


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.