Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 051908
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    58  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  60  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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