Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 051924
FWSBGM

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROOSA GAP...NYS DEPT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
324 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1420 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF RAIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST FROM SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK THIS EVENING. SOME OF THIS RAIN MAY
REACH THE SOUTHWEST CATSKILLS LATER THIS EVENING BUT A GENERAL WEAKENING
TREND IS EXPECTED AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE CHANCE OF MEASURABLE RAIN ONLY 40 TO 50 PERCENT. A FEW SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY...
THEN DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN DURING THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE 60S ON WEDNESDAY THEN WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6000-7900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............66  66  66
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................79  79  79
RH..................32  31  29
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............66     71     76     88     100    99
WEATHER COV.........S CHC         CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     71     63     59     54     51
RH..................30     34     43     51     64     68
20 FT WIND..........N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   N 3    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3600-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 2700 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............99     98     88     78     69     57
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     53     58     62     65     66
RH..................66     52     39     33     33     36
20 FT WIND..........N 4    NE 5   NE 5   NE 3   E 2    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5                    5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...EVANS
REQUESTED BY...MARK PELLERITO  NWS IMET
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150505.ROOSA.02/BGM


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