Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 262028
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 107...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
428 PM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT...BRINGING FAIR WEATHER AND LIGHT WIND. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY...BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS BY LATE MORNING AND SCATTERED SHOWERS BY AFTERNOON.

FAIR...DRY AND BREEZY WEATHER WILL RETURN TUESDAY...AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM PUSHES OFF THE EAST COAST. LATE NEXT WEEK...A LARGE AND
SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL DROP SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AND SPAWN AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST.
THESE TWO WEATHER FEATURES WILL COMBINE TO BRING WIDESPREAD CLOUDS
AND PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH THURSDAY.

&&

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-8000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-1100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............58  58  43  42  40  38  37  44  51  53  57  61
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  56  52  50  48  47  46  45  43  42  40  39
RH..................31  35  42  46  50  53  57  61  67  71  74  79
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  9   8   7   6   5   6   7   8   8   8   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10      10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......8.0 7.5 6.8 6.3 5.6 4.9 4.1 3.2 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  14  14  14  15  15  15  15  15  14  12  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7500-8300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 23
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............65  69  71  73  77  82  84  84  84  84  84  84
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  38  41  44  47  50  51  51  52  52  52  52
RH..................83  79  71  63  56  50  50  49  48  48  48  48
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.7 1.4 3.1 5.2 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.1 7.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  13  15  15  16  16  17  18  20  21  22  23
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 28 MPH...DECREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............80  71  66  66  66  66  51  51  51  51  51  51
WEATHER COV.........SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  49  48  47  46  45  45  44  44  43  43  42
RH..................52  56  60  63  66  68  69  70  71  73  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......16  16  16  15  14  12  12  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......6.6 5.4 4.3 3.5 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....25  26  28  26  25  23  21  18  17  16  16  17
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-5800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............51  51  48  48  48  48  48  48  48  48  48  48
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41  41  45  48  50  53  55  57  58  60  62  59
RH..................79  79  68  63  58  53  51  49  47  45  43  48
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  10  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.8 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....20  22  23  22  21  18  17  16  15  15  15  15
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150426.SGL10.01/CTP


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