Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 032152
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MINT RX...USFS/COCONINO NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
250 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

COR TYPO

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0955 MST ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
FLAGSTAFF TO NEAR HAPPY JACK AT 245 PM. THIS BOUNDARY IS MOVING
SLOWY TO THE SOUTHWEST AND SHOULD BRING A WIND SHIFT TO THE MINT
BURN BY 1500L.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH THROUGH 1500L BECOMING EAST NORTHEAST 5-15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (129600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1296.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTH 15
                    TO 20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE WINDS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1900 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......19.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    2200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...JEFF WALTHER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.MINTR.01/FGZ


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