Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 032122
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH NEW ROAD RUN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
522 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO
BERMUDA THROUGH MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH
TUESDAY AND BECOME STATIONARY DURING MIDWEEK BRINGING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED
LATE IN THE WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-49100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........50     30     23     14     8      8
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............70     67     60     56     53     51
RH...............28     36     49     59     67     70
20 FT WIND.......W 4    S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST..7      4      4      4      4      4
CWR..............0      0      0      0      0      0
VRATE KT-FT/1000.46     44     8      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 6400-8200
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 5700
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-45100 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO GOOD (48200-55100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........8      9      20     35     47     45
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............49     48     55     63     69     73
RH...............77     83     68     52     41     35
20 FT WIND.......W 2    W 2    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST..4      4      7      7      7      7
CWR..............10     10     10     10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.0      0      25     54     54     52

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7600-52700 KNOT-FT)...DECREASING
                    TO POOR TO POOR (0-500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........43     43     45     46     46     47
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............73     70     63     60     57     56
RH...............38     50     63     67     75     75
20 FT WIND.......SW 6   SW 6   SW 8   SW 10  W 10   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST..11     11     11     14     14     14
CWR..............10     10     10     10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.52     46     8      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7600-8600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (600-47900 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (34200-77900 KNOT-FT) LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........47     48     52     57     61     61
WEATHER COV......                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............54     53     59     65     70     73
RH...............82     91     78     66     56     52
20 FT WIND.......W 9    NW 7   W 6    W 5    SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST..14     11     11     7      7      7
CWR..............10     10     10     40     40     40
VRATE KT-FT/1000.1      1      48     78     51     41

$$
FORECASTER...JACKSON
REQUESTED BY...SAMI SCHINNELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.NORTH.02/LWX


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