Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 281154
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-32...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
754 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH THE SEABREEZE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN PINNED NEAR THE COAST. IT IS A TOUGH CALL WHETHER THE
SEABREEZE WILL PUSH INTO THE BURN AREA BUT IF SO, IT WILL LIKELY BE
LATE AFTERNOON.

WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS AHEAD OF SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............30  29  29  27  26  22  21  23  23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  59  61  63  65  66  67  67  67
RH..................51  45  41  36  34  33  33  34  36
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................36  51  57  57  57  56  52  48  41
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............22  20  19  22  26  31  36  41  43  47  54  61
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  63  61  59  57  55  54  53  53  52  51  51
RH..................40  44  49  55  59  66  69  71  71  74  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR......N   NE  NE  E   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   2   3   3   4   3   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5       5   5   5   5
LVORI...............2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   4   4
ADI.................28  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............68  75  79  81  85  89  94  98  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  52  53  56  59  61  62  63  64  64  64  64
RH..................74  77  77  72  67  65  65  65  63  63  63  63
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   NW  N   N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   4   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5           10  10  10  15  15  15
LVORI...............3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1
ADI.................1   4   4   6   7   8   10  13  19  27  36  43
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.C32__.01/MHX


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