Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 031240 CCA
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 5201...MISSISSIPPI FORESTRY COMMISION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
724 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON AND LIGHT SURFACE WINDS
WILL GENERALLY FAVOR A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE AIRMASS BECOMES WELL
MIXED THIS AFTERNOON AND DISPERSION WILL BECOME GENERALLY GOOD. HUMIDITIES WILL
RECOVER TO AROUND 100 PERCENT TONIGHT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FOG COULD RESTRICT VISIBILITY FROM 1 TO 3 MILES.  FOG WILL BURN OFF
RAPIDLY FOLLOWING SUNRISE ON MONDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 59 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........17     17     17     17
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............77     80     81     80
RH................42     35     34     37
20 FT WIND DIR....S      SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....3      5      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST...                     13
MIX HGT (FT)......4100   7900   7900   5400
MIX HGT (M).......1250   2410   2410   1650
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      7      7      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........27     59     59     47
LVORI.............2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 10.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........17     12     12     12     14     14
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............78     71     64     61     59     57
RH................41     55     78     88     92     97
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    ESE    ENE
20 FT WIND SPD....6      7      4      4      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...13
MIX HGT (FT)......5400   2900   1600   1600   200    300
MIX HGT (M).......1650   880    490    490    60     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    S      SSE    SSE    SSE    ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      6      5      5      3      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      2      2      1      1
DISPERSION........47     5      2      2      2      1
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      7      10
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........14     29     29     29     41     41
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............56     63     74     80     83     84
RH................100    89     59     47     42     41
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    NNE    E      E      SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      6      6      7      9
20 FT WIND GUST...                            14     16
MIX HGT (FT)......300    400    4000   4000   7700   4800
MIX HGT (M).......90     120    1220   1220   2350   1460
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    E      E      E      SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      5      10     10     15     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      2      4      4      7      5
DISPERSION........1      2      49     49     73     50
LVORI.............10     6      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............0      10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...8
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.DESOT.01/MOB



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