Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 010930
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOCHENOUR...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
430 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM WESTERN MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST
KANSAS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TODAY...THEN START TO DISSIPATE BY THIS
EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE FRONT. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE OFF AN ON SPOTTY STORM
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT THE CHANCE FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT
AND WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SHOULD INCREASE BY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........78     85     83     78     70     46
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............57     63     67     70     71     68
RH..............59     50     49     47     47     48
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    S 12   S 10   S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      2      2      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY
REQUESTED BY...DOUG CHAFA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150501.GOCHE.01/OAX



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