Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 022242
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BA AT WILD CREEK...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
642 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT, ALONG
WITH WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ON MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH THROUGH MONDAY, KEEPING FAIR
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA TUESDAY, THEN STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9
                    TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............22     23     23     23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65     72     77     76
RH..................50     39     32     34
20 FT WIND..........W 7    SW 10  SW 13  SW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     20     20
CWR.................10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............23     22     29     37     44     48
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74     71     65     61     59     57
RH..................37     42     56     65     72     77
20 FT WIND..........SW 12  SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   W 6    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     10     10
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............52     56     59     63     66     69
WEATHER COV.........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................58     61     66     69     71     70
RH..................77     72     61     55     49     49
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 7    W 8    W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     15     15     15
CWR.................10     40     40     40     50     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     40     40     40     50     50
LAL.................M      M      M      M      M      M

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.BAATW.01/PHI


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