River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 281535
RVFCML
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:32am EDT Tuesday, April 28, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs

*** Updated due to changes in outflows from Cordell Hull Reservoir ***

: Carthage - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 437.53 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Smith County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.8 ft
: Major River Stage      47.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 26                           /  17.9
:     Apr 27   /  17.8 /  18.6 /  17.7 /  17.6
:     Apr 28   /  18.6 /  19.3 /  18.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 18.1 ft at 1100am EDT on Tue, Apr 28
:
.ER CTHT1 20150428 Z DC201504281532/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Apr 28 :                         /  15.3
.E2 : Apr 29 : /  12.4 /  12.6 /  13.0 /  13.4
.E3 : Apr 30 : /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4
.E4 : May 01 : /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4
.E5 : May 02 : /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4
.E6 : May 03 : /  12.9 /  12.2 /  11.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  0.00
:     Apr 26   /  0.00 /  0.39 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Apr 27   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 28                           /  0.00
:     Apr 29   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  19.2
:     Apr 26   /  26.7 /  19.7 /  15.0 /  11.5
:     Apr 27   /  12.7 /   9.2 /   5.4 /  12.5
:     Apr 28   /  18.6 /  10.8 /   6.8 /  15.0
:     Apr 29   /  19.1 /  14.9 /  11.1 /  15.1
:     Apr 30   /  19.1 /  14.4 /  10.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Old Hickory Dam - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    135.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 120.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge    100.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 26                           / 40.47E
:     Apr 27   / 35.22E/ 36.19E/ 42.04E/ 37.09E
:     Apr 28   / 35.04E/ 42.19E/ 42.43E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER OHIT1 20150428 Z DC201504281532/DUE/DQG/DH18/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Apr 28 :                         / 40.87
.E2 : Apr 29 : / 18.76 / 20.17 / 21.59 / 23.01
.E3 : Apr 30 : / 24.43 / 24.40 / 24.37 / 24.34
.E4 : May 01 : / 24.32 / 24.29 / 24.27 / 24.25
.E5 : May 02 : / 24.23 / 24.21 / 24.19 / 24.17
.E6 : May 03 : / 24.22 / 22.21 / 20.19
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  0.00
:     Apr 26   /  0.00 /  0.16 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 27   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 28                           /  0.00
:     Apr 29   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  18.2
:     Apr 26   /  27.0 /  20.0 /  14.7 /  11.1
:     Apr 27   /  13.8 /  10.3 /   6.4 /  13.5
:     Apr 28   /  19.0 /  12.1 /   8.2 /  15.0
:     Apr 29   /  19.1 /  14.6 /  10.7 /  15.2
:     Apr 30   /  19.8 /  15.0 /  11.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Nashville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 368.1 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     56.2 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   42.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 26                           /  24.6
:     Apr 27   /  24.6 /  24.2 /  23.9 /  22.8
:     Apr 28   /  22.4 /  22.4 /  21.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 22.0 ft at 1030am EDT on Tue, Apr 28
:
.ER NAST1 20150428 Z DC201504281532/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Apr 28 :                         /  22.2
.E2 : Apr 29 : /  22.6 /  22.5 /  22.4 /  22.4
.E3 : Apr 30 : /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4
.E4 : May 01 : /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4
.E5 : May 02 : /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4
.E6 : May 03 : /  22.4 /  22.4 /  22.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  0.00
:     Apr 26   /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 27   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 28                           /  0.00
:     Apr 29   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  18.5
:     Apr 26   /  26.9 /  20.4 /  15.2 /  11.4
:     Apr 27   /  13.3 /  10.7 /   7.1 /  13.6
:     Apr 28   /  18.6 /  12.6 /   8.6 /  15.6
:     Apr 29   /  19.5 /  14.9 /  10.9 /  15.3
:     Apr 30   /  19.9 /  15.2 /  11.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cheatham Lock & Dam - Cumberland River  - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cheatham County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    125.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 110.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge     90.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 26                           / 47.10E
:     Apr 27   / 46.99E/ 46.86E/ 47.54E/ 44.87E
:     Apr 28   / 44.78E/ 46.20E/ 46.07E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER CHET1 20150428 Z DC201504281532/DUE/DQG/DH18/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Apr 28 :                         / 40.46
.E2 : Apr 29 : / 40.21 / 39.95 / 39.37 / 39.13
.E3 : Apr 30 : / 39.00 / 38.90 / 38.80 / 38.73
.E4 : May 01 : / 38.66 / 38.60 / 38.53 / 38.47
.E5 : May 02 : / 38.41 / 38.35 / 38.30 / 38.25
.E6 : May 03 : / 38.19 / 38.13 / 38.08
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  0.00
:     Apr 26   /  0.00 /  0.17 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 27   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 28                           /  0.00
:     Apr 29   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  19.0
:     Apr 26   /  26.6 /  19.8 /  14.7 /  11.0
:     Apr 27   /  12.7 /   9.9 /   6.3 /  13.0
:     Apr 28   /  17.9 /  11.5 /   7.6 /  15.7
:     Apr 29   /  19.4 /  14.6 /  10.4 /  15.2
:     Apr 30   /  19.9 /  15.0 /  10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clarksville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 330.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Montgomery County, TN
: Record River Stage     57.1 ft
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      46.0 ft
: Action River Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 26                           /  34.7
:     Apr 27   /  34.2 /  34.0 /  33.9 /  33.2
:     Apr 28   /  33.0 /  32.8 /  32.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 32.3 ft at 1030am EDT on Tue, Apr 28
:
.ER CKVT1 20150428 Z DC201504281532/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Apr 28 :                         /  32.5
.E2 : Apr 29 : /  32.4 /  32.3 /  32.1 /  32.0
.E3 : Apr 30 : /  31.9 /  31.9 /  31.8 /  31.8
.E4 : May 01 : /  31.7 /  31.7 /  31.7 /  31.6
.E5 : May 02 : /  31.6 /  31.6 /  31.6 /  31.5
.E6 : May 03 : /  31.5 /  31.5 /  31.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  0.00
:     Apr 26   /  0.00 /  0.29 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 27   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 28                           /  0.00
:     Apr 29   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 25                           /  19.1
:     Apr 26   /  26.3 /  18.7 /  13.9 /  10.4
:     Apr 27   /  13.0 /  10.0 /   6.2 /  12.8
:     Apr 28   /  17.6 /  11.2 /   7.3 /  15.2
:     Apr 29   /  18.9 /  14.0 /   9.7 /  14.8
:     Apr 30   /  19.9 /  14.9 /  10.6
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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