Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 042128
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/04/15 2127Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2115Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW MISSOURI...SW IOWA...NE KANSAS...E NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...BOUNDARY ON 700-500 PW MOISTURE LOOP HAS SETTLED N MISSOURI
TO NORTHERN KANSAS FOR BEST FORCING TO RESULTING IN MODERATE TO HVY
RAINFALL...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWED BROAD WNW TO ESE
SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTING NORTH AND NE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WERE HELPING TO IGNITE COOLING CLOUDS NE KANSAS NEAR
OR RIGHT ON TOP OF MOISTURE 700-500MB BOUNDARY AS DEPICTED (LOWER LEFT
PANEL) TOWARD THE END OF THE CURRENT CIRA EXPERIMENTAL LAYERED PW PRODUCT
AT:  http://cat.cira.colostate.edu/sport/layered/blended/lpw.htm   .
DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE AND RIGHT THROUGH THE CENTER OF CONCERNED AREA
MAXING OUT AT 1.2"-1.3".  NOT EXCEPTIONAL MOISTURE FOR THE TIME OF
YEAR...SO NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD HVY RAIN...BUT SOME CONCERN FOR
CURRENT COOLING  WITH A SEVERE LOOK TO IT INITIALLY IN NE KANSAS THAT
COULD BECOME A POTENT 1-1.5"/HR RAIN MAKER AS IT HEADS ACROSS NE KANSAS
AND POSSIBLY INTO NW MISSOURI NEXT FEW HRS WITH ADDITIONAL WEAK WEDGE BAND
TO THE SW FOR SOME POSSIBLE TRAINING THAT CAN SET UP.    FURTHER NORTH
IN NEBRASKA INTO W CENTRAL IOWA..MORE LIKE DEFORMATION LIGHT TO MODERATE
WITH AN OVERRUNNING LOOK TO IT.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 2130-0030Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...MAIN ACTION IN KANSAS AND ESPECIALLY WITH MATURING
ACTIVITY NE KANSAS WITH BAND JUST BEHIND IT TO THE SW.  INCREASING HVY
RAIN NE KANSAS WITH INSTABILITY CARRYING TO THE KS-MO BORDER AND POSSIBLY
BEYOND.  CHANCE OF TRAINING ACTIVITY ACROSS NE KANSAS THIS PERIOD THAT
CAN HEIGHT FF THREAT .
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4144 9408 4022 9373 3868 9877 4113 9901
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