Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 171859
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

...DRY WEATHER INTO SUNDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR WILD FIRES ON SATURDAY
AS THERE WILL BE AN EAST WIND OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 25 AND 30
PERCENT. CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY AND THERE WILL BE SOAKING RAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-180815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 40-45 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 11
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1000-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-180815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-180815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...4300-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5100-5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    7300-7800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-180815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.37 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-180815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
259 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS 16 TO
21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.



$$

WDM




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