Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 030806
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK AGAIN TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70. THE AIR MASS IS DRY WITH
AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT TODAY. WINDS
WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE TONIGHT AND LINGER INTO
MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-96 INTO TUESDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-032015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4200-4700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3400-3900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.49 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.16 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-032015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-032015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5700-6200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.34 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 51-56
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 32
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...800-1300 FT AGL INCREASING
                    TO 3100-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.26 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-032015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.19 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-032015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.33 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$






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