Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 030357
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOS PINOS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
957 PM MDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE SUNDAY THOUGH A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD DURING THE DAY ALLOWING SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO HAVE MORE COVERAGE. BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS AND SHOWERS
LOOKS TO BE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE BUT POSSIBILITY DOES EXIST FOR
SOME CONVECTION TO MOVE OVER. COVERAGE WILL DIE DOWN QUICKLY AFTER
SUNSET. MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY CONVECTION WILL BE GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 12PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    7 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 12PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS BECOME ISOLATED IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 5 MPH AFTER 7PM.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...JIM RAMIREZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.LOSPI.01/GJT



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