Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 251328
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PAKES   STEVENSON...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
928 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HUDSON BAY HIGH WILL PROVIDE A FLOW OF DRY AIR FROM THE EAST.
MEANWHILE... LOW PRESSURE PASSING SOUTH OF MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE
CLOUDS BUT MOST OF THE RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL STAY SOUTH OF
THE STATE TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 18 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5800-6300
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 700-1000
                    (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........99     96     82
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     53     53
RH..............51     44     41
20 FT WIND......E 18   E 17   E 15
20 FT GUST......20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3
                    TO 6 MPH TOWARD DAYBREAK.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0-200
                    (POOR TO FAIR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150425.PAKES.01/GRR





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