Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 061312
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROITZ...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
912 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 8 TO 14 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS
AT 15 TO 21 MPH DUE TO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY DEVELOPING NEAR
THE BAHAMAS AND TRACKS NORTHWARD. RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES WITH PASSING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH DISPERSIONS OF 70 TO 75 UNITS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AS TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS RISE.

LOW PRESSURE REMAINS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWARD...EAST OF THE AREA
ON THURSDAY AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WIND NEAR 15 MPH OR LESS IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY WITH LOWER MIN RH
VALUES BUT STILL LIKELY TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. DISPERSIONS WILL
LIKELY BE HIGHER FOR MOST LOCATIONS AT OR ABOVE 75 UNITS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS
NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........59     65     61     47
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77     81     82     81
RH..............71     58     55     54
20 FT WIND......NE 12  NE 14  NE 14  NE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8
                    TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
20 FT WIND......NE 12  NE 8   N 6    N 5    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10

$$
FORECASTER...CORDERO
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HOLLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150506.FROIT.01/JAX


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