River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 021346
RVFCML
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:46am EDT Saturday, May 2, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Carthage - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 437.53 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Smith County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.8 ft
: Major River Stage      47.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /  15.9
:     May 01   /  16.5 /  17.3 /  16.9 /  16.1
:     May 02   /  16.6 /  16.7 /  15.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 15.7 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER CTHT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /  14.8
.E2 : May 03 : /  14.3 /  13.8 /  13.2 /  12.1
.E3 : May 04 : /  12.0 /  10.5 /   9.0 /   9.0
.E4 : May 05 : /   8.9 /   8.5 /   9.1 /   9.1
.E5 : May 06 : /   9.1 /   9.1 /   9.1 /   9.0
.E6 : May 07 : /   9.0 /   9.0 /   9.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.2
:     Apr 30   /  21.3 /  13.4 /   7.6 /  15.7
:     May 01   /  15.5 /   9.7 /   4.4 /  12.7
:     May 02   /  19.4 /  11.4 /   7.1 /  18.0
:     May 03   /  22.4 /  17.5 /  13.1 /  19.2
:     May 04   /  24.9 /  19.8 /  15.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Old Hickory Dam - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    135.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 120.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge    100.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           / 36.41E
:     May 01   / 27.58E/ 33.26E/ 34.84E/ 35.81E
:     May 02   / 27.49E/ 33.77E/ 33.75E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER OHIT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         / 28.43
.E2 : May 03 : / 26.45 / 26.03 / 25.71 / 23.21
.E3 : May 04 : / 19.87 / 19.66 / 15.17 / 10.67
.E4 : May 05 : / 10.47 / 10.26 /  9.12 / 10.87
.E5 : May 06 : / 10.82 / 10.76 / 10.71 / 10.66
.E6 : May 07 : / 10.61 / 10.56 / 10.51
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  16.2
:     Apr 30   /  21.2 /  14.1 /   8.5 /  16.1
:     May 01   /  17.1 /  11.0 /   5.5 /  14.1
:     May 02   /  20.3 /  13.3 /   8.1 /  18.7
:     May 03   /  23.0 /  17.9 /  13.4 /  19.6
:     May 04   /  25.5 /  20.2 /  15.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Antioch - Mill Creek - OHX
: Zero Datum 472.57 ft (NGVD29)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     26.1 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /   3.0
:     May 01   /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
:     May 02   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.9 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER ANTT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /   2.9
.E2 : May 03 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
.E3 : May 04 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
.E4 : May 05 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E5 : May 06 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E6 : May 07 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.9
:     Apr 30   /  20.6 /  14.4 /   9.2 /  17.7
:     May 01   /  17.7 /  12.0 /   6.4 /  13.8
:     May 02   /  19.7 /  14.1 /   9.0 /  19.1
:     May 03   /  23.4 /  18.1 /  13.4 /  19.6
:     May 04   /  25.6 /  20.3 /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbine - Mill Creek at Thompson Lane - OHX
: Zero Datum 432.55 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage   MISSING
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /   2.9
:     May 01   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
:     May 02   /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.8 ft at 900am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER WBNT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /   2.7
.E2 : May 03 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E3 : May 04 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E4 : May 05 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E5 : May 06 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E6 : May 07 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  16.2
:     Apr 30   /  20.8 /  15.2 /  10.0 /  17.7
:     May 01   /  18.2 /  12.4 /   7.0 /  14.1
:     May 02   /  20.1 /  14.7 /   9.6 /  19.4
:     May 03   /  23.5 /  18.2 /  13.5 /  19.8
:     May 04   /  25.6 /  20.4 /  15.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Nashville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 368.1 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     56.2 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   42.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /  22.2
:     May 01   /  22.6 /  22.7 /  22.4 /  22.7
:     May 02   /  22.5 /  22.3 /  22.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 22.2 ft at 930am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER NAST1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /  22.0
.E2 : May 03 : /  21.7 /  21.6 /  20.3 /  20.3
.E3 : May 04 : /  20.3 /  20.3 /  18.9 /  18.9
.E4 : May 05 : /  18.9 /  18.9 /  18.1 /  18.1
.E5 : May 06 : /  18.0 /  18.0 /  17.7 /  17.6
.E6 : May 07 : /  17.6 /  17.6 /  17.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  16.2
:     Apr 30   /  20.8 /  14.9 /   9.6 /  17.1
:     May 01   /  17.9 /  12.2 /   6.8 /  14.2
:     May 02   /  20.2 /  14.6 /   9.2 /  19.1
:     May 03   /  23.4 /  18.1 /  13.5 /  19.8
:     May 04   /  25.6 /  20.4 /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Franklin - Harpeth River - OHX
: Zero Datum 604.42 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Williamson County, TN
: Record River Stage     35.2 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      30.0 ft
: Action River Stage     22.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /   4.2
:     May 01   /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
:     May 02   /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.1 ft at 915am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER FRAT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /   4.0
.E2 : May 03 : /   4.0 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E3 : May 04 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E4 : May 05 : /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E5 : May 06 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E6 : May 07 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.6
:     Apr 30   /  20.5 /  13.3 /   7.7 /  17.4
:     May 01   /  18.1 /  11.3 /   5.9 /  13.7
:     May 02   /  19.5 /  13.0 /   7.8 /  19.0
:     May 03   /  23.3 /  17.9 /  13.3 /  19.5
:     May 04   /  25.4 /  20.1 /  15.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Bellevue - Harpeth River - OHX
: Zero Datum 541.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     33.2 ft
: Major River Stage      28.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /   2.3
:     May 01   /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.2
:     May 02   /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.2 ft at 930am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER BELT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /   2.1
.E2 : May 03 : /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.0
.E3 : May 04 : /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 /   1.9
.E4 : May 05 : /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9
.E5 : May 06 : /   1.9 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8
.E6 : May 07 : /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.6
:     Apr 30   /  20.2 /  13.8 /   8.3 /  17.4
:     May 01   /  18.5 /  11.6 /   5.8 /  13.6
:     May 02   /  19.6 /  13.4 /   8.0 /  19.0
:     May 03   /  23.4 /  17.9 /  13.2 /  19.5
:     May 04   /  25.5 /  20.1 /  15.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cheatham Lock & Dam - Cumberland River  - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cheatham County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    125.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 110.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge     90.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           / 35.50E
:     May 01   / 35.44E/ 38.49E/ 38.83E/ 35.27E
:     May 02   / 38.32E/ 35.18E/ 35.53E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER CHET1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         / 35.27
.E2 : May 03 : / 35.48 / 35.08 / 34.68 / 28.49
.E3 : May 04 : / 28.46 / 28.43 / 28.40 / 21.16
.E4 : May 05 : / 21.18 / 21.19 / 21.21 / 17.36
.E5 : May 06 : / 17.26 / 17.16 / 17.06 / 12.47
.E6 : May 07 : / 12.33 / 11.89 / 11.66
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.6
:     Apr 30   /  19.9 /  14.2 /   8.8 /  17.0
:     May 01   /  18.4 /  12.0 /   6.1 /  13.7
:     May 02   /  19.6 /  13.2 /   8.4 /  19.4
:     May 03   /  23.6 /  18.1 /  13.3 /  19.7
:     May 04   /  25.7 /  20.3 /  15.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clarksville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 330.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Montgomery County, TN
: Record River Stage     57.1 ft
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      46.0 ft
: Action River Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 30                           /  31.2
:     May 01   /  31.3 /  31.4 /  31.4 /  31.4
:     May 02   /  31.5 /  31.5 /  31.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 31.8 ft at 930am EDT on Sat, May 2
:
.ER CKVT1 20150502 Z DC201505021346/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 02 :                         /  31.6
.E2 : May 03 : /  31.5 /  31.5 /  31.4 /  31.3
.E3 : May 04 : /  30.8 /  30.3 /  30.3 /  30.2
.E4 : May 05 : /  29.6 /  29.0 /  28.9 /  28.9
.E5 : May 06 : /  28.6 /  28.2 /  28.2 /  28.2
.E6 : May 07 : /  27.7 /  27.3 /  27.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  0.00
:     Apr 30   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Apr 29                           /  15.5
:     Apr 30   /  19.6 /  13.6 /   8.6 /  16.9
:     May 01   /  18.7 /  11.8 /   6.0 /  13.5
:     May 02   /  19.4 /  12.6 /   8.4 /  19.5
:     May 03   /  23.7 /  18.0 /  13.0 /  19.5
:     May 04   /  25.7 /  20.1 /  15.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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