Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 261501
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
COZ000-NMZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/26/15 1500Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1445Z GOES-15 1441Z      WARREN
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LOCATION...COLORADO...NRN NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...PUB...BOU...ABQ...GJT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES CONCERNING HIGHER ELEVATION SPRING SNOW EVENT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UA ANALYSIS/WATER VAPOR FROM THIS
MORNING SHOWCASES A CUTOFF LOW AT 85 MB WITH A NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY
NEGATIVELY TILTED 500 MB TROF AXIS SITUATED JUST W OF THE FOUR CORNERS.
WELL-DEFINED POTENT MID TO UL JET ENERGY IS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR/GOES
RGB AIRMASS PRODUCT DIVING SWD AND JUST BEGINNING TO REACH BASE OF TROF
INVOF AR/NM/OLD MEXICO BORDERS.  STRATOSPHERIC AIR INTRUSION IS ALSO
EVIDENT WITHIN JET STREAK PER GOES AIRMASS AND EXPERIMENTAL AIRS OZONE
ANOMALY PRODUCT.  THIS INFORMATION BUILDS CONFIDENCE THAT AS ENERGY EJECTS
OUT OF BASE OF TROF OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS...WILL LEAD TO ENHANCED CLOUD
TOP COOLING AND DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE/CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS NM/SRN CO.

MID TO UL MOISTURE FEED IS EVIDENT IN EXPERIMENTAL CIRA/NASA SPORT
LAYERED TPW PRODUCT FROM THE ERN PACIFIC WITH ANOMALIES RUNNING UPWARDS OF
150-175 PERCENT ABOVE CLIMO PER NESDIS STLT DERIVED BLENDED TPW PRODUCT.
FAVORABLE ERLY FLOW AT 850 MB WAS NOTED FROM REGIONAL 12Z RAOBS SHOULD
ACT TO ENHANCE LLVL CONVERGENCE ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA AND FAVOR ENHANCED
UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION RATES FOR ERN SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO...SAN
JUAN...AND CENTRAL CO MTN RANGES.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR...LGT SNOW ALREADY
BEING REPORTED AT VTP WITH AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OF
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
UL JET ENERGY EJECTS OUT OF BASE OF AFOREMENTIONED MID/UL TROF AXIS
FOR DISCUSSION AREA.  EXPERIMENTAL SYNTHETIC STLT SUGGESTS BEST CLOUD
TOP COOLING/EXPANSION LIKELY TO BEGIN AROUND THE 18-20Z PERIOD THE THE
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF A COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION ZONE OVER THE SAN JUAN
AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS.  THIS SEEMS REASONABLE PER LATEST WATER VAPOR
TRENDS AND EXTRAPOLATION OF NOSE OF JET LIFTING NNEWD.  ABOVE NORMAL
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH LLVL CONVERGENCE AIDED BY ERLY FLOW COULD MAY
RESULT IN PERIODS OF MOD TO HVY SNOW RATES LATER TODAY.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4006 10695 3986 10594 3911 10534 3845 10507 3757 10461
3634 10498 3607 10598 3662 10612 3719 10738 3790 10847
3880 10751
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