Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
AXUS75 KPUB 100401
DGTPUB

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1001 PM MDT THU APR 9 2015

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-120415-
1001 PM MDT THU APR 9 2015

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

MARCH OF 2015 DEFINITELY CAME IN LIKE A LION AND LEFT LIKE A LAMB
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. MARCH STARTED OUT WHERE
FEBRUARY LEFT OFF...COOL AND UNSETTLED ACROSS THE AREA. A MUCH WARMER
AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN THEN DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE MONTH...WITH SEVERAL RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES BEING TIED OR SET.
A POTENT...BUT QUICK MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM BROUGHT MUCH NEEDED MOUNTAIN
SNOWFALL...ALONG WITH RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...BETWEEN
MARCH 18TH AND 19TH...WITH ANOTHER QUICK MOVING SYSTEM BRINGING SOME
PRECIPITATION TO MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AROUND MARCH 25TH.
FOR THE MONTH AS A WHOLE...BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
AND ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE EXPERIENCED ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

WITH THAT SAID...THE LATEST US DROUGHT MONITOR HAS INTRODUCED SEVERE
DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
COLORADO...INCLUDING MINERAL COUNTY...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN SAGUACHE
COUNTY...SOUTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE COUNTY AND WESTERN CONEJOS COUNTY.
SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ALSO REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS INCLUDING THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF
CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN OTERO COUNTY...THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY...AND ALL OF KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...EXTREME EASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...AND
THE REST OF OTERO AND CROWLEY COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO INDICATED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHWESTERN SAGUACHE
COUNTY...THE REST OF RIO GRANDE AND CONEJOS COUNTIES...MOST OF ALAMOSA
COUNTY AND EXTREME WESTERN COSTILLA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...EXTREME EASTERN AND WESTERN HUERFANO COUNTY...CENTRAL
PUEBLO COUNTY...MOST OF THE REST OF SAGUACHE AND COSTILLA COUNTIES...AND
THE REST OF ALAMOSA COUNTY.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE REST OF PUEBLO...HUERFANO...COSTILLA
AND SAGUACHE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER
EL PASO AND CUSTER COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

WARM AND DRY WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH OF MARCH INCREASED
THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA. IN ADDITION...A WINDY BEGINNING
OF APRIL HAS LED TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER BEING REPORTED ACROSS
THE NON SNOW COVERED AREAS...WITH SEVERAL WILDFIRES HAVING TO BE
EXTINGUISHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE
PAST FEW WEEKS.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH SOME POCKETS OF DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS BEING
INDICATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS AND THE LOWER
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY.

HYDROLOGIC...

THE COLD AND SNOWY WEATHER OF LATE FEBRUARY AND EARLY MARCH WAS
SHORT LIVED ACROSS COLORADO. THE COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER SAW
AND ABRUPT END AROUND MARCH 6TH...WITH THE PERIOD FROM MARCH 6TH
THROUGH APRIL 1ST BEING THE SECOND DRIEST FOR THE PERIOD OF RECORD
DATING BACK TO 1986...JUST BEHIND THE MARCH 6TH THROUGH APRIL 1ST
TIMEFRAME OF 2012. WITH THAT SAID...THE APRIL 1ST STATEWIDE SNOWPACK
FELL TO 69 PERCENT OF NORMAL...WHICH IS DOWN FROM THE 87 PERCENT
REPORTED LAST MONTH AND IS ONLY 62 PERCENT OF THE SNOWPACK AT THIS
SAME TIME LAST YEAR. OUT OF THE 30 YEAR PERIOD OF RECORD...THE 69
PERCENT APRIL 1ST STATEWIDE SNOWPACK RANKS THIRD FROM THE MINIMUM
YEAR OF 2002.

THE APRIL 1ST SNOWPACK REPORT FOR THE ARKANSAS BASIN REMAINED ONE
OF THE HIGHEST IN THE STATE...RUNNING AT 87 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL.
THIS IS DOWN FROM THE 101 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED LAST
MONTH AND IS ONLY 78 PERCENT OF THE SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME
TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...THE APRIL 1ST SNOWPACK WAS AT 59 PERCENT
OVERALL. THIS IS DOWN FROM THE 74 PERCENT OF AVERAGE SNOWPACK REPORTED
LAST MONTH AND IS ONLY 77 PERCENT OF SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME
TIME LAST YEAR.

STATEWIDE RESERVOIR STORAGE LEVELS AT THE END OF MARCH CAME IN AT
107 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL. THIS IS UP SLIGHTLY FROM THE 105
PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE LAST MONTH AND IS ALSO ABOVE THE 89
PERCENT OF THE AVERAGE STORAGE AVAILABLE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST
YEAR. HOWEVER...STORAGE LEVELS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE ARE LAGGING WELL BEHIND THE STORAGE LEVELS ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON APRIL 1ST REMAINED
AROUND THE 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED LAST MONTH...AND
REMAINS ABOVE THE 60 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE LEVELS REPORTED AT
THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON APRIL 1ST ROSE TO 77
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO THE 72 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
STORAGE REPORTED LAST MONTH AND TO THE 70 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL
AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. DESPITE STILL HAVING THE LOWEST STORAGE
LEVELS IN THE STATE...THE RIO GRANDE BASIN HAS SEEN A 20 PERCENT
INCREASE IN AVAILABLE STORAGE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE WATER
YEAR...WHICH STARTED ON OCTOBER 1ST OF 2014.

THE WARM AND DRY MARCH HAVE PUT A DAMPER ON LATE SPRING AND EARLY
SUMMER STREAMFLOW RUNOFF FORECASTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...LATEST STREAM FLOW FORECASTS RANGE FROM 80
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT SALIDA...TO
AROUND 62 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE CUCHARAS RIVER NEAR
LA VETA.

THE CURRENT FORECASTS IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN RANGE FROM AROUND
95 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR UTE CREEK NEAR FORT GARLAND...TO 36
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE SAN ANTONIO RIVER AT ORITZ.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH
OF MARCH WAS 5.9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING MARCH OF 2015
TIED WITH MARCH OF 2004 AS THE WARMEST MARCH ON RECORD IN
ALAMOSA. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.40 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND A
TRACE OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF MARCH...WHICH IS 0.13
INCHES AND 5.0 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY. THE TRACE OF
SNOW RECORDED THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH OF MARCH MAKES MARCH OF
2015 TIED WITH MARCH OF 1933 AND 1934 AS THE LEAST SNOWIEST MARCH
ON RECORD.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGHOUT THE PAST
MONTH OF MARCH WAS 4.0 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING MARCH OF
2015 TIED WITH MARCH OF 2011 AND MARCH OF 1934 AS THE 12TH WARMEST
MARCH ON RECORD. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED 0.81 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND 3.9 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF
MARCH...WHICH IS 0.19 INCHES AND 4.2 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH OF
MARCH WAS 2.8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED 0.57 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION AND 1.7 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF
MARCH...WHICH IS 0.36 INCHES AND 4.0 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.40/-0.13  1.74/+0.69  2.99/+0.49   6.76/-0.55
COS AIRPORT    0.81/-0.19  3.13/+1.47  6.51/+3.29  18.86/+2.32
PUB AIRPORT    0.57/-0.36  1.95/+0.37  3.56/+0.41  12.29/-0.28

EADS           0.35/-0.58  1.40/-0.32  4.65/+0.88  20.02/+4.34
LAMAR          0.17/-0.67  1.86/+0.35  3.49/+0.40  16.78/+1.58
WALSH 1W       0.40/-0.72  2.80/+0.75  6.07/+1.31  17.83/-1.33
CAMPO 7S       0.38/-0.62  2.08/+0.35  3.88/-0.14  15.70/-1.26
ORDWAY 21N     0.46/-0.32  1.04/-0.29  1.98/-0.71   8.02/-4.53
LAS ANIMAS     0.16/-0.77  1.48/-0.24  2.98/-0.61  11.27/-2.46
KIM 15NNE      0.43/-0.85  2.34/+0.03  7.48/+2.68  20.56/+3.72
FLORISSANT_FB  1.13/-0.05  2.43/+0.30  4.03/-0.18  18.03/+1.15
CANON CITY     1.08/-0.06  3.89/+1.80  5.79/+1.61  12.85/-0.62
RYE 1SW        1.30/-1.23  6.56/+1.55 10.86/+1.91  30.05/+4.94
WESTCLIFFE     0.83/-0.38  2.26/-0.14  3.94/-1.01  16.07/+1.52
WALSENBURG 1NW 0.98/-0.98  4.68/+0.97  8.30/+1.08  21.69/+3.65
TRINIDAD       0.61/-0.55  2.71/+0.45  4.99/+0.08  15.49/-0.82
CRESTONE 2SE   0.53/-0.59  2.45/+0.31  5.30/+0.98  15.81/+2.55
DEL NORTE 2E   0.75/-0.08  2.48/+0.90  3.74/+0.21   8.61/-1.95
BUENA VISTA 2S 0.52/-0.18  1.95/+0.54  4.19/+1.12  10.01/-0.49
CLIMAX         1.21/-1.05  4.39/-1.56 12.94/+1.33  27.31/+3.33

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATE SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHANCES OF NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR
REST OF APRIL...MAY AND JUNE INDICATE EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW
OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT TILT TO ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH MAY 31ST...INDICATES
PROBABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY SATURDAY MAY 9TH 2015...OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.