Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 250743
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...ASIDE FROM SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT...LOW PRESSURE
TRACKING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
SOUTH OF ANN ARBOR AND DETROIT TODAY. THIS SYSTEM COMBINED WITH HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST TODAY.
THESE WINDS WILL SUSTAIN SOME DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL DRY AIR ACROSS THE
REGION...WHICH WILL AT LEAST CAUSE AFTERNOON RH VALUES TO DROP INTO
THE 30S. A SLIGHTLY BETTER INFLUX OF MOISTURE UNDER THE NORTHEAST
WINDS SUGGEST DAYTIME RH VALUES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER BOTH SUNDAY
AND MONDAY /IN THE 40S/. A SLOW WARMING TREND AND LITTLE TO NO CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5190-5690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (820).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-252115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4440-4940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4940-5440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4860-5360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6080-6580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.

$$

CB/SC



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