Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 131328
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 1B-1...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
928 AM EDT MON APR 13 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FARTHER OFFSHORE TODAY. LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A
WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE ENTIRE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO
THE NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH PUSHES OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY...AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  23  23  16  16  16  19  19  19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  62  67  69  72  74  75  76  75
RH..................64  56  50  47  42  40  38  37  38
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  15  18  20  20  20  18  18  18
LVORI...............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................11  31  50  46  50  54  51  51  51
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   21  36  49  59  69  64  64  64

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 13
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............20  20  20  39  39  39  67  67  67  84  84  84
WEATHER COV.........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74  73  70  67  64  61  60  59  59  58  58  58
RH..................40  43  47  54  63  75  78  80  83  90  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.8 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....20  22  23  23  22  20  18  16  14  13  13  13
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6
ADI.................13  15  15  15  15  18  16  14  12  12  9   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  40  40  40  60
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....48  30  9   7   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 13 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............96  96  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 96  96  96
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  60  61  61  62  62  62  62  62  61  60  59
RH..................90  90  90  90  90  90  90  87  87  87  90  90
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   3   3   5   7   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  5   5   10  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  NW  N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  12  10  9   8   9   13  17  20  18  15  13
LVORI...............5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................13  12  11  10  10  11  15  21  25  23  20  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60  60  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   7   7   6   7   10  14  17  16  14  12



FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150413.TA1B1.01/AKQ



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