Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
000
FNUS74 KMOB 062315
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BON SECOUR BAY...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1830 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING...THEN LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NO RAIN IN THE FORECAST UNTIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY FOG AGAIN...MAINLY BETWEEN 2 AM AND 8
AM CDT. VISIBILITY GENERALLY BETWEEN 1 AND 3 MILES EXPECTED...BUT
LOCALIZED VISIBILITY DROPS BELOW 1 MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING MAINLY AFTER 2 AM CDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN LIGHT
                    NORTHERLY TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH TOWARD MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)...........14  14  14  14  14  14  40  40  40  32  32
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......                            F   F   F   F
TEMP..............75  73  72  70  70  69  69  68  68  68  67
DEWPT.............67  67  67  67  67  67  67  66  66  66  66
RH................75  82  85  90  90  93  93  93  94  94  97
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE E   NE  N
20 FT WIND SPD....8   7   6   6   4   3   3   3   3   4   5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (KFT).....2.2 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
MIX HGT (KM)......0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD...13  13  13  6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
DISPERSION........9   9   9   8   8   8   5   5   5   9   9
LVORI.............4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
STABILITY CLASS...E   E   E   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
CWR...............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
                    BEFORE 9 AM CDT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)...........32  24  24  24  24  24  24  22  22  22  22  22
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......F   F   F
TEMP..............67  67  70  73  75  77  78  79  80  80  80  79
DEWPT.............65  65  66  66  66  66  65  66  66  66  66  66
RH................94  94  88  79  73  68  65  65  63  63  63  65
20 FT WIND DIR....NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD....6   6   6   6   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (KFT).....0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
MIX HGT (KM)......0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR...E   ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   ESE ESE ESE SSE SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...14  16  16  16  13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
DISPERSION........9   2   2   2   24  24  24  43  43  43  32  32
LVORI.............5   5   5   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
STABILITY CLASS...F   B   B   B   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C
CWR...............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...21
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150506.BONSE.02/MOB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.