Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KOKX 130755
FWSOKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOG BROOK RX...NYS-DEC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
355 AM EDT MON APR 13 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...ALONG
WITH MILD TEMPERATURES. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH AND
INCREASE TODAY. THERE MAY BE SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY LEVELS DURING THE DAY WILL REMAIN BETWEEN
30 AND 50 PERCENT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1500 FT
                    AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............10  12  14  16  17  20  28  31  29  25  23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  46  50  54  57  60  62  63  64  64  63
RH..................70  65  56  48  43  39  38  36  37  38  39
20 FT WIND DIR......190 180 180 190 190 190 180 180 180 180 180
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  15  15  15  20  20  15
SURFACE WND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SURFACE WND SPD.....2   2   4   6   7   9   10  11  11  11  11
SURFACE WND GST.....5   5   5   10  10  15  15  15  20  20  15
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 29 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 18
                    MPH LATE.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  35  39  36  31  28  39  61  72  79  92  99
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62  60  58  57  56  55  54  52  51  50  48  48
RH..................42  45  49  53  57  61  68  76  83  88  90  89
20 FT WIND DIR......180 170 170 180 180 190 190 190 200 210 220 230
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   6   7   8   8   9   8   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
SURFACE WND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
SURFACE WND SPD.....10  9   8   8   9   10  10  11  10  9   7   6
SURFACE WND GST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
CWR.................0   0   0   10  10  10  40  40  40  90  90  90

$$
FORECASTER...BC
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN GALLAGHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150413.BOGBR.01/OKX



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