Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 061950
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
350 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...SHOULD BE DRY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE NEXT
FRONT WORKS IN SLOW FROM THE WEST. DEWPOINTS WILL HOWEVER REMAIN AT
OR ABOVE 50 THURSDAY BUT WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY REACHING INTO THE
LOW 80S THE AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUE WILL DROP INTO THE 40 PERCENT
RANGE. BOTH DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SLIGHTLY ON
FRIDAY...BUT DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS WILL KEEP RH VALUES IN THE MID 40S
WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-062115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
350 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3220-3720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10380-10880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-062115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
350 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4350-4850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9760-10260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-062115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
350 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3560-4060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 0
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9290-9790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.

$$

DRK



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