Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 012012
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 169...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...


A SHARP WARMUP CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST AND A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. A COLD
FRONT WILL EDGE INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA FRIDAY
ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7600-8000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 22
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............30  26  23  26  33  39  39  38  35  30  26  23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  34  37  40  43  45  47  48  49  51  49
RH..................83  85  77  70  63  55  52  49  47  44  42  46
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10      5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.0 4.2 5.1 5.9 6.5 7.6 8.0 7.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  10  12  13  15  17  18  20  21  22  21
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 1 TO 2
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............20  18  21  28  34  37  37  37  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  45  44  43  42  41  40  39  38  37  36  35
RH..................49  53  57  60  62  64  66  68  70  74  78  83
20 FT WIND DIR......N   NE  N   NE  NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......5.5 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  N   NE  NE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  8   2   1   3   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 28
                    TO 29 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............27  27  45  45  45  45  45  45  55  55  55  55
WEATHER COV.........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                                RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  34  39  43  47  52  55  57  60  62  64  63
RH..................87  91  75  71  65  59  58  58  58  53  51  54
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   8   9   10  10  12  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   10  16  21  23  24  25  28  29  29
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150402.SGL16.02/CTP



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