Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 011852
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
152 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH HAS BEGUN ITS EASTWARD RETREAT WITH
WINDS NOW SHIFTING AROUND TO THE SOUTH. AIR ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE REMAINS ABNORMALLY DRY, WITH DEW POINTS STILL IN THE
20`S EAST OF BNA. LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS AS WE HEAD INTO THE
EVENING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE UPPER FLOW TURNS CYCLONIC. THERE IS A
CONTINUED CHANCE OF STORMS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT AS A STRONG
SURFACE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY TOWARD MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE MAIN
EVENT WILL BE FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL SOUNDINGS DO SHOW A DECENT AMOUNT
OF CAPE BOTH TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON, SO THE
COMBINATION OF GOOD INSTABILITY AND THE PRESENCE OF A SURFACE
BOUNDARY DOES HELP SUPPORT THE SLIGHT RISK WE ARE CURRENTLY UNDER
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. QPF SUGGESTS SOME HEAVY RAIN ON FRIDAY,
BUT THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE QUICK ENOUGH SO THAT FLOODING CONCERNS
ARE MINIMAL. ALSO, LOOK FOR SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY TOMORROW, AND EVEN MORE SO ON FRIDAY SO THAT A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED, ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND INTO FRIDAY
EVENING WITH THE FROPA. EXPECT MUCH COOLER WEATHER THIS WEEKEND,
WITH SATURDAY NIGHT BEING THE COOLEST NIGHT, ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      56  78  61  75 /  30  50  50  70
CLARKSVILLE    55  74  63  67 /  30  50  70  80
CROSSVILLE     52  69  57  69 /  20  60  40  80
COLUMBIA       57  78  62  75 /  20  50  30  60
LAWRENCEBURG   57  77  61  74 /  20  50  30  60
WAVERLY        56  76  63  71 /  30  50  60  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

ROSE




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