Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 042109
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
409 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WARM AND PLEASANT SPRING DAY WITH A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER
BY COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS DAYS AS SOUTHERLY FLOW DEEPENS ACROSS
THE REGION. A FEW SPOTTY SHWRS/TSTMS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY CREEPING
NWRD THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEA BREEZE CONVECTION ADVANCING NORTH OF
THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN SE LA AND STRADDLING THE MS RIVER IN EXTREME
E CNTRL LA. THEREFORE...WILL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS OUR
FAR SERN LA PARISHES THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE CONVECTION DIES
OFF AS HEATING IS LOST.

THE TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE FOR SLIGHTLY
BETTER RAIN CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR WRN HALF AS THE UPPER
RIDGE INCHES A BIT FARTHER EAST. MOST CONVECTION WILL BE DIURNALLY
DRIVEN DURING OUR PEAK HEATING HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL BEING STEERED TO OUR NW WITH AN UPPER
TROF EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. HENCE...SLIGHT
CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POPS SHOULD COVER OUR BASES FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROF
AND COLD FRONT APPROACHING. THIS FRONT IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE OVER
OUR WRN CWA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE ADVANCING ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH MONDAY WITH OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SHWRS AND
TSTMS. MEANWHILE...MAX TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND WITH LOWS CONSIDERABLY WARMER IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR
MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONT ARRIVING EARLY NEXT
WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  83  64  82 /  10  20  20  30
MLU  63  84  62  83 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  60  81  64  79 /  10  20  20  30
TXK  62  82  64  81 /  10  20  20  30
ELD  63  84  62  82 /  10  10  10  20
TYR  62  81  65  81 /  10  30  30  40
GGG  63  81  65  81 /  10  30  30  40
LFK  65  82  66  82 /  10  30  30  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19


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