Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 032118
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A BREAK IN BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP STORM CONDITIONS WELL
NORTH OF THE FORECAST TODAY. THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT...ELEVATING DEWPOINTS...INCREASING CLOUD
COVER AND SUPPORTING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS MONDAY AM
ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ. THE WESTERN FIRE DISTRICTS ALONG AND WEST OF
THE CO RIVER VALLEY WILL MOSTLY REMAIN DRY IN TERMS OF PREICIP BUT
SEE THE DEWPOINTS BOOST. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT FOR
MONDAY WITH DAYTIME HUMIDITIES DRYING INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE WITH
GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-040930-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-65 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-86.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................59-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................56-72 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 83-89. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 80-86. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 77-84. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 79-85.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 84-89.

$$

AZZ133-040930-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................56-77 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 3
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................70-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................31-40 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-58.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................75-90 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................18 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-81.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-37 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44-58. HIGHS 72-85. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-58. HIGHS 70-83. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42-57. HIGHS 69-81. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-55. HIGHS 68-80.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-58. HIGHS 71-85.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-040930-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................51-66 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 8 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................59-64.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................48-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-63. HIGHS 85-90. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 82-86. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-60. HIGHS 79-83. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-61. HIGHS 82-86.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-64. HIGHS 87-91.

$$

CAZ230-040930-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-68.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-43 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-86.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-26 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-62.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-42 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-86.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-59. HIGHS 70-86. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 42-57. HIGHS 61-81. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 41-55. HIGHS 60-78. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-59. HIGHS 66-81.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-61. HIGHS 71-86.

$$

CAZ232-040930-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
218 PM MST SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................67-71.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................42-61 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................38-54 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-63. HIGHS 82-89. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 77-84. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-61. HIGHS 74-81. WEST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-62. HIGHS 77-84.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-64. HIGHS 82-89.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...MONDAY MAY 11TH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MAY
13TH...NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.



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