Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 042023
FWSBGM

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSA GAP...NYS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
423 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1603 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE A FEW HOURS INTO
THIS EVENING BEFORE IMPROVEMENT OCCURS. MOISTURE RECOVERY WILL
BE GRADUAL...AND WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THOUGH
DIMINISHING. A COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA VERY LATE TONIGHT
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT AMOUNTS IF
ANY WILL UNFORTUNATELY BE QUITE LIGHT. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
A THUNDERSTORM AS WELL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY HOWEVER WILL NOT BE
NEARLY AS LOW TUESDAY. THE WIND WILL VEER WEST TO NORTHWEST TUESDAY
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...NOT AS STRONG NOR GUSTY AS TODAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............25     20     24     32     44     55     65
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................81     79     76     70     64     60     59
RH..................19     21     27     39     52     64     69
20 FT WIND..........SW 10  SW 8   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....18     15     15     20     20     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5400-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 4000 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............75     85     84     83     82     76
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................59     61     65     70     73     73
RH..................72     70     60     53     46     46
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 6    W 6    W 5    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...PELLERITO
REQUESTED BY...JIM PRUNOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150504.ROSAG.01/BGM



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