Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 311301
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAMSHIRE 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
801 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT MOST AREAS
WILL REMAIN DRY. THE BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK...AS MOISTURE REMAINS ACROSS THE
AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5592 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4700 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............72  74  75  77  78  78  78  78
RH..............76  73  70  67  63  61  60  63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  10  9   7   6   6   7   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............76  74  72  69  66  65  64  64  64  63  62  62
RH..............63  67  72  79  84  88  89  90  89  89  89  89
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5538 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4600 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............61  61  62  64  66  68  70  72  73  74  74  74
RH..............89  89  88  84  80  74  69  64  62  60  58  59
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   5   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   5   7   7   7   11  11  11  11  11  11
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   3   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  20  20  20  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

$$
FORECASTER...58
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150331.SHAMS.01/LZK




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