Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 181402
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATHOUSE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1002 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1039 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL
REMAIN UNUSUALLY WARM AND MOIST FOR MID APRIL. SCATTERED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND MAY IMPACT THE BURN SITE
TOWARD MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WILL BECOME WEST INTO THE
AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
STRONGER WIND GUSTS.

PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOWARD
DAYBREAK SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 9
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 INCREASING TO 55 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52  32  32  58  58  58  83  83
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  83  84  85  85  84  83  83
RH..............78  65  61  59  57  61  61  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....41 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........83  83  64  64  64  64  64  64  51  51  51  51
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............80  78  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71
RH..............69  74  82  82  82  84  84  90  90  90  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR..W   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10                      5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150418.BATHO.01/MLB


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