Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 011752
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR 18690 HWY T...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1252 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1238 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND INCREASINGLY MOIST CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM
SYSTEM. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A BREAK IN THE RAIN CHANCE WILL OCCUR TONIGHT
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THE RAIN WILL
GRADUALLY END FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH
UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 AT REQUEST...MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 33 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CHANCE OF PRECIS....20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT REQUEST...MAXIMUM 2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP............69     73     75
RH..............33     37     42
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   2400   2300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25   S 26   S 24
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR
VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING
HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............76     72     67     66     65     64
RH..............46     56     69     72     75     76
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 9    S 9    S 8    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1500   900    1000   1000   600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21   S 20   S 20   S 22   S 26   S 33
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      4      4      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 68 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 39 MPH DECREASING TO 23 TO 26
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............61     62     67     70     72     71
RH..............82     83     75     69     68     70
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    S 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    600    1200   2500   3400   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 39  SW 37  SW 30  SW 24  SW 24  SW 26
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     70     50     50     50     60
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH WINDS TO NORTH WINDS
CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR
VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING
HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 35 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY OCNL   OCNL   OCNL   OCNL   OCNL   OCNL   DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     67     63     60     58     55     53     56     55     55     54     53
RH..............73     79     77     82     86     91     98     85     75     67     60     57
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 2   E 3    NE 4   N 4    E 5    NE 5   NE 6   N 7    N 10   N 10   NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      10     10     15     15     20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1400   1300   1000   600    300    700    1300   1900   2800   3000   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 25  NW 20  N 14   N 13   NE 15  NE 20  NE 24  N 30   N 33   N 35   N 32
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     90     90     90     90     90     90     80     80     80     40     40
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3      3      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...GRIFFIN
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150401.18690.01/SGF






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