Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 031310
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
910 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...MODERATE TO HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY...

SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS MORNING WILL PUSH OFF
THE COAST TODAY WITH OUR LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUING TO VEER NORTHEAST
TO EAST. AIRMASS OVERHEAD REMAINS QUITE DRY...AND DESPITE THE
INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW...IT DOESN`T APPEAR THINGS WILL MODERATE
TODAY FOR ANY NOTABLE RAIN CHANCES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL BE ON
TAP FOR THE DAY WITH SCATTERED ATLANTIC STRATOCU MOVING INTO THE
COAST AND TRANSLATING INLAND WITH DAYTIME HEATING.

HIGH TEMPS REMAIN BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE COAST AROUND 80 WITH MID
80S IN THE INTERIOR.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. PASSING ATLANTIC STRATOCU CIGS FL040-050 ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE DAY. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TO 20
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SLIDES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST AND
STRENGTHENS INTO TONIGHT. EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15KTS THIS MORNING
WILL VEER MORE DUE EAST INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SPEEDS WILL PICK UP TO
A SOLID 15KTS SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET BY LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

LONGER PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELL WORKING INTO THE WATERS THIS MORNING
FROM STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH PERIODS 11 TO 13 SEC.
PERIODS WILL SHORTEN INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH 9-10SEC EXPECTED TO BE
THE DOMINANT BASED ON UPSTREAM BUOYS.

THE COMBINATION OF WINDS/SWELL WILL NECESSITATE AN EXERCISE CAUTION
STATEMENT FOR THE OFFSHORE ZONES AND NEARSHORE SOUTH ZONE.
CONDITIONS AT INLETS WILL ALSO LIKELY BE ROUGH DURING THE OUTGOING
TIDE THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

MOSES/CRISTALDI



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