Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 051255
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTHERN GREAT LAKES VISITOR CENTER RX BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
755 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE A WARM, SUNNY, AND DRY DAY. A LAKE BREEZE SHOULD
DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WINDS SHOULD
BE FROM THE ENE DURING THE AFTERNOON, THE WINDS HIGHER ALOFT WILL
BE FROM SSE. THE MIXING HEIGHTS COULD INCREASE ENOUGH BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON TO TAP INTO THE SOUTHERLY WINDS ALOFT, SO WIND
GUSTS COULD BE FROM THE SSE. THE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO COOL
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WITH THE COOL ENE FLOW OFF
OF THE LAKE.

THERE IS A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE MODELS ARE NOT
INDICATING ANY RAINFALL, SO THE FORECAST HAS SHOWERS TO TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT THE ONE MODEL THAT IS DIFFERENT THAN THE MAJORITY OF
MODELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST 3 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700) INCREASING TO GOOD (33900) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (62700) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    GOOD (43500) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM  9 AM  11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............40    54    63     66     66     64
RH..............92    45    30     26     27     35
20 FT WIND DIR..S     SE    E      ENE    ENE    ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..3     4     5      8      9      8
20 FT WIND GUST.3     5     6      10     13     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800) DECREASING TO POOR (1200) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............55     47     42     42     42     42
RH..............47     60     65     65     70     76
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     N      NE     S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..6      3      2      3      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.7

$$
FORECASTER...GEOFF
REQUESTED BY...VANCE HAZELTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150505.NORTH.01/DLH






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