Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 032051
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BA AT WILD CREEK  2...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
451 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FARTHER OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST THROUGH
MONDAY, BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE NOSING ITS WAY
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. THE HIGH BUILDS OFFSHORE
OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............15     25     36     40
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66     73     77     78
RH..................47     35     31     29
20 FT WIND..........SW 7   SW 12  SW 15  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     20     20
CWR.................0      0      0      0
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............37     28     34     41     47     54
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     70     64     60     58     56
RH..................31     42     58     72     77     83
20 FT WIND..........SW 13  SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   W 6    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     10     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      10     10     10     20     20
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............62     69     72     75     77     80
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................57     61     66     71     73     73
RH..................83     75     63     55     51     51
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 5    W 6    W 7    W 6    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     15
CWR.................20     30     30     40     40     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20     30     30     40     40     50
LAL.................1      1      1      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.BAATW.02/PHI


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