Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FXUS63 KJKL 022000
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
400 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER KY WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OFF THE COAST
BY MONDAY MORNING...WHILE A DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LEAVES A
NONDESCRIPT PATTERN ALOFT WITH THE WESTERLIES TO OUR NORTH BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD. LOW LEVEL PARCEL TRAJECTORIES WILL NOT ALLOW
MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF...AND THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY.
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL BRING SIZABLE DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE RANGES...ESPECIALLY FOR VALLEYS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON KEEPING A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
RESIDING OVER THE REGION FROM MONDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
THIS WILL PROVIDE A MORE SUMMER-LIKE FEEL ACROSS THE AREA WITHOUT
THE REAL HIGH HUMIDITY.  HIGHS IN THE 80S APPEAR LIKELY EACH DAY.
WHILE JUST ABOUT EVERYONE SHOULD STAY DRY THIS WEEK...THERE IS AN
OUTSIDE CHANCE A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM COULD POP EACH
AFTERNOON...STARTING ON WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH BREAKS DOWN SLIGHTLY
AND WE GET SOME SLIGHTLY BETTER MOISTURE INTO THE REGION.
HOWEVER...ANY ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY ISOLATED AND HARDLY WORTH THE
MENTION AT THIS POINT. BEST CHANCES FOR ANYTHING TO POP WOULD BE ON
THE HIGH TERRAIN IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH WILL
BREAK DOWN BETTER NEXT WEEKEND...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR BETTER CHANCES
FOR RAIN AT SOME POINT OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT THIS IS JUST BEYOND
THE FORECAST FOR THIS PERIOD. WE SHOULD SEE VALLEY FOG EACH MORNING
AS YOU WOULD EXPECT UNDER THE HIGH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 154 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FOG WILL BRING DETERIORATING CONDITIONS IN VALLEYS NEAR LARGE
STREAMS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED VLIFR TOWARD DAWN. THE
FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY AROUND 9 AM. OTHERWISE...VFR AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL PREVAIL.


&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...KAS
AVIATION...HAL



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