Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 181133
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
733 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

...MAINLY DRY THROUGH THIS EVENING BUT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO RETURN...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MOSTLY DRY AND WARM WEATHER TODAY.
HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES WILL ONCE AGAIN ENTER THE FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY...AS A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE GRADUALLY WORKS ACROSS THE
REGION. THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL BE ON SUNDAY.
RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING SHOULD
AVERAGE BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO AROUND ONE INCH.

KYZ068-079-083-084-182030-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
733 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (56800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.20 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....112.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (111800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.56 - 0.71 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-182030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
733 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (53700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (67500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.27 - 0.61 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-111-114>117-182030-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-LEE-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN
733 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (49400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON SUNDAY.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.13 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON SUNDAY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....78.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (78300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.39 - 0.72 INCHES.


$$

KYZ110-112-113-118-120-182030-
FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
733 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON SUNDAY.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (45600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON SUNDAY.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (83000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.27 - 0.65 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
JP



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