Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 160924
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
524 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT TONIGHT AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER POTENT SYSTEM WILL THEN
BRING A RENEWED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106-108-111-
112-114>117-162030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN
524 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.32 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 MPH OR LESS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.09 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.

$$

KYZ107-109-110-113-118>120-162030-
JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...JENKINS...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...
SOUTH WILLIAMSON
524 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (51500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.20 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 MPH OR LESS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.07 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ABE



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