Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 051043
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
642 AM EDT TUE MAY 05 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 05/1200 UTC THRU MAY 08/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...LOWER GREAT LAKES STATES TO THE MID ATLANTIC...

THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY HEIGHT RISES
LATER TODAY...AND A LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE PAST THE
AREA...OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND. STILL...THERE WAS A NOTEWORTHY
SMALLER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH HAD PRODUCED AN ORGANIZED AREA OF
MODERATE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER IA/MO/IL MONDAY
NIGHT...AND THIS WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
MORNING. THE ATMOSPHERE HAD CONTINUED TO MOISTEN NEAR THIS FEATURE
AND DOWNSTREAM...ALONG A SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING TOWARD PA
AND ADJACENT STATES. AMPLE HEATING AND SOME MID LEVEL ASCENT
PROVIDED BY THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE SHOULD YIELD AN ORGANIZED SWATH
OF AT LEAST 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING. WE BLENDED THE PREVIOUS WPC FORECAST TOWARD
THE 00Z ECMWF...OUR IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE TOOL...AND IN THE SHORT
TERM...THE HRRR...WHICH GAVE US A SWATH SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF
CONSENSUS. THIS KEEPS WITH CONTINUITY...AND EMPHASIZES THE
LIKELIHOOD OF SOME NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION...NOT TIED TO THE MID
LEVEL WAVE. MODELS HAVE BEEN MISSING ON THIS UPSTREAM.


...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST / GREAT PLAINS...

IN THE MOUNTAIN AREAS A PLUME OF ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WILL COINCIDE
WITH THE REGION OF DIFLUENT MID AND UPPER FLOW ALONG AND NORTH
THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THIS
REGION. GEFS ANOMALIES INDICATE PW VALUES 2 TO 3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS FROM CLIMATOLOGY ANYWHERE FROM SOUTHERN NV TO WESTERN
CO. ALTHOUGH WE WERE FAIRLY GENEROUS WITH AREAL COVERAGE OF
PRECIPITATION...GOING WITH A CONSENSUS OF BOTH GLOBAL AND
HI-RESOLUTION MODELS...IT IS LIKELY THERE WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS IN THIS REGIME.

IN THE PLAINS THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS MAY
SURVIVE OR DISSIPATE ONLY BRIEFLY BEFORE PICKING UP FARTHER EAST.
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS IN NE NM AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES SHOULD CLEAR
OUT ENOUGH TO ALLOW ANOTHER EVENT DURING AFTERNOON HEATING...AS
LOW LEVEL INFLOW REMAINS STRONG. MEANWHILE...THE LEAD SHORTWAVE
WILL HAVE REACHED WESTERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BREAK OUT
WITHIN A PLUME OF MOISTURE MIGRATING NORTH AND WEST OUT OF
LOUISIANA. MANY OF THESE FEATURES CONVERGE TOWARD NORTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN / CENTRAL / EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WHILE FAIRLY COMPLICATED...THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT.
OVERALL THEY DISPLAY SIMILAR QPFS SPATIALLY. WE ESPECIALLY FAVORED
THE 00Z GFS...ECMWF...00Z WRF-ARW AND 00Z GEM REGIONAL. ALL OF
WHICH ALLOWED US TO KEEP GOOD CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. WE STAYED AWAY FROM THE NAM WHICH WAS TOO FAR NORTH IN
MANY AREAS...AND THE SREF MEAN WHICH DID NOT SEEM TO CAPTURE ANY
MESOSCALE DETAIL IN THE PLAINS...WHERE MOST GUIDANCE SEPARATES
HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN THE STRONG FORCING IN THE TX PANHANDLE /
WESTERN OK FROM THE DEEPER MOISTURE IN NORTH TX / SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL OK.


...FLORIDA...

A MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM SOUTH OF THE KEYS TO THE
BAHAMAS WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...BUT PRECIPITATION WILL
INCREASE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA OWING TO A DEEPENING FETCH OF EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL WINDS. WE INCREASED AREAL AVERAGE 24-HOUR AMOUNTS UP TO
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES BASED ON OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND AN AVERAGE
OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE.



DAYS 2/3...


...FL/SOUTHEAST COAST...

AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND GETTING
CAUGHT BENEATH A RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN U.S. WILL HELP
SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK.
THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING WITH THE COASTAL
LOW SHOULD REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...A HEALTHY SLUG OF MOISTURE CROSSING FLORIDA AND FEEDING
INTO THE STORM COULD FUEL LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF FLORIDA.

THE EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE MAJORITY OF DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE GIVES
LESS CONFIDENCE IN THE NAM...WHICH IS ONE OF THE DEEPEST SOLUTIONS
AND IS QUICKEST TO BRING THE LOW WESTWARD TOWARDS THE COAST.  THE
LATEST WPC QPF REFLECTS THIS EASTWARD SHIFT...BUT ADJUSTMENTS WILL
STILL BE NEEDED TO THE FORECAST AS MODELS COME INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT.  PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER`S
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM.


...NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES...

A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES ON WEDNESDAY...AND MODEST MOISTURE
ALONG THE FRONT COULD LEAD TO HEAVY RAINS WITHIN DEVELOPING
STORMS.  THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES SHOULD LESSEN ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN ALOFT
AND WEAKENS THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  MODELS WERE FAIRLY
SIMILAR WITH QPF AMOUNTS...AND THE WPC FORECAST WAS BASED ON A
GENERAL MODEL COMPROMISE.


...GREAT PLAINS...

STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A TROUGH CARVING OUT IN THE WEST AND
A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE EAST WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL U.S..  THE ANOMALOUS AND
PERSISTENT MOISTURE WILL FUEL WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
GREAT PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  THE HEAVIEST AND MOST
ORGANIZED AREA OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE WITH THE
LEADING EDGE OF HEIGHT FALLS LIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES/PLAINS WEDNESDAY MORNING.  AN ORGANIZED AXIS OF HEAVY
RAINS SHOULD ALSO SET UP TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW EMERGING OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND
TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DAKOTAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  LATE
IN THE PERIOD...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTLING IN OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS COULD HELP FOCUS PRECIPITATION ACROSS KANSAS AND COLORADO
FRIDAY MORNING.

A SLIGHT RISK AREA OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS ISSUED ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA/TEXAS BOARDER FOR THE DAY 2 PERIOD...WHERE SOME LOCATIONS
COULD GET HIT WITH A SECOND CONSECUTIVE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING ROUND
OF CONVECTION CONTAINING HEAVY RAINS.

MODELS WERE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE FORCING
ACROSS THE PLAINS...BUT ARE STILL SHOWING SOME DETAIL DIFFERENCES
WITH THE HEAVIEST AXES AND AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION.  THE WPC
FORECAST RELIED ON THE FAIRLY AGREEABLE GFS/ECMWF.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES...

A DEEP UPPER LOW DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BRING ACTIVE
WEATHER TO MUCH OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...GREAT BASIN...AND
ROCKIES.  DESPITE A SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE SOURCE...STRONG MID-LEVEL
FORCING...COMBINED WITH OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS...SHOULD STILL PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENINGS.  MODELS REMAINED IN DECENT AGREEMENT OUT WEST
AND MINIMAL ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO CONTINUITY.


BURKE/GERHARDT


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 510284 525261 537222 542198 542185 540173 538164 537153
      533144 530142 526142 514149 511151 510156 510161 507163
      498162 497165 494168 486166 484171 483178 482183 485186
      490191 495198 496200 495202 492201 487198 484199 482202
      475205 466206 461210 455213 440218 439221 440225 442228
      445231 438242 442247 451250 470257 478260 482260 485258
      488259 491263 496270 500277 503281 506282 510284
 0.01 524084 522074 519064 514064 509065 507060 506052 503046
      499043 494043 489044 483049 476058 467071 462083 458081
      455078 452070 447064 446061 447058 451057 456057 458054
      466036 466028 468021 468011 467006 464994 460984 459979
      455975 446968 442968 439966 435966 433968 428965 428958
      428945 428938 427932 425920 432916 435911 437906 438902
      438896 440891 440883 439867 439857 438849 435836 435828
      434819 433803 432794 430787 427774 425769 424762 418741
      417734 415730 414717 415708 416703 416700 413697 410697
      408701 404703 400704 397707 391716 388726 386739 384751
      383764 380774 376784 372792 369799 364805 359812 357816
      355819 349826 345832 344838 345844 350850 356843 381810
      388806 392814 392825 392831 395833 399832 401835 402848
      403873 404901 408929 411939 414952 415958 415962 407955
      394944 391940 387939 383937 377937 367937 362938 358939
      349939 341936 333935 323932 319932 314929 312926 308920
      306914 303910 298906 299913 301918 302920 303924 302927
      299927 282924 271924 267925 264929 265933 266937 272943
      280947 283949 285952 289959 292962 294968 294973 290977
      284983 280987 281993 282998 282002 281009 283013 285018
      287018 298026 306028 316030 327029 332030 335032 339039
      338043 335047 331049 329052 328056 330060 333060 335062
      333068 332075 330081 328087 326092 325098 326103 336122
      341129 345132 351132 358130 366129 371130 374133 377137
      378142 377148 376151 375158 376162 376172 372174 367173
      367179 365180 364182 371189 378195 382198 386198 384193
      384185 385177 389176 393177 396177 398172 402164 405161
      408157 412155 416156 418154 421149 420144 422140 423133
      426129 430123 433118 437116 440114 443116
 0.01 443116 443121 442124 438131 437134 437140 438143 438148
      448156 453152 455144 460138 464136 473128 485124 497121
      499121 497116 499113 503111 512105 519093 524084
 0.01 491147 490146 488144 485141 484140 482137 481135 477134
      477136 479139 480140 483143 485144 486146 489149 491147
 0.01 480673 477672 474676 472680 470685 468689 467694 468702
      471701 474697 476693 478689 479683 480678 480673
 0.01 469150 469147 466146 463146 461148 459150 457152 456155
      456159 456162 457162 460160 461158 463156 465154 467152
      469150
 0.01 340177 340175 339172 337171 335171 335172 336174 338176
      338177 340177 340177
 0.01 327749 326735 321725 314721 310720 306720 301720 297717
      293716 286717 278721 272726 264732 259733 254735 246738
      237742 231749 226757 225766 224769 224775 218794 216801
      217808 216812 218816 218823 219827 222832 224836 229837
      234836 238838 241846 247855 249857 253855 258850 261846
      263842 266832 266827 266824 268823 272822 272816 275813
      281812 287811 292813 296814 300811 304806 308796 311793
      313789 318781 320772 325760 327749
 0.01 266009 265003 261998 257995 251993 244992 237992 234994
      234997 236003 239007 243012 249013 254012 262011 266009
 0.25 532211 533201 534188 534179 532172 526167 520164 517171
      512173 506173 499173 497176 499180 504182 509188 512196
      513199 512204 512210 511213 507213 504214 502219 499219
      494213 488210 481209 470212 465214 459218 460223 463225
      467225 472223 479223 486223 490224 495229 499236 502238
      505238 509238 512242 513244 517244 521235 522229 520220
      520218 522218 524220 527220 531215 532211
 0.25 510087 510081 507079 502075 499071 498067 494061 491061
      489063 484070 482072 482076 486082 490088 498091 504090
      510087
 0.25 480241 480240 480239 479236 479235 479233 479231 478229
      477229 476230 475230 474232 473233 472234 472235 472236
      472238 472239 472241 473243 474244 476245 478245 479244
      480243 480241
 0.25 475106 473104 471103 470103 469103 468103 467105 466107
      467110 468110 469111 470110 471110 473109 473108 475106
      475106
 0.25 435097 434097 433095 433094 431092 430090 429089 428089
      426089 426091 428093 428094 429095 431097 432098 434098
      435097
 0.25 438035 438031 436030 433028 431025 428019 425010 422004
      418000 417996 417992 415985 403982 396979 393971 387961
      383956 379953 373951 364950 358949 350951 336953 325954
      319953 315952 314947 311943 303940 299939 291938 290941
      290944 295947 308952 310958 313966 311971 310973 312975
      314977 314980 310985 308987 309992 307000 312003 315005
      316011 318017 324019 328021 336023 346030 360035 365033
      369033 373034 375037 371043 366057 365061 365067 367075
      367083 366091 368095 372098 376100 379099 385097 390093
      393090 397090 406082 410080 415078 416073 415069 416064
      413056 412052 414049 418048 419045 419038 421033 426031
      431032 434035 438035
 0.25 435873 433855 431840 427823 425817 423813 419807 417798
      415781 413774 409768 406766 404760 400753 396752 394766
      393781 398791 399808 401813 405818 408823 409832 409847
      410857 410865 413880 423881 427884 430890 434886 435881
      435873
 0.25 400127 401123 400120 397118 396117 394117 390117 387118
      385120 383121 381124 382127 385127 387127 389128 393128
      394128 398128 400127
 0.25 315744 314737 309732 298729 292728 286728 275734 263741
      253746 248750 243755 242761 243768 241774 241783 241789
      239795 237801 236810 239817 242821 245822 248821 251815
      256812 264811 271810 277807 287800 290796 294790 299779
      304779 307778 310776 312771 312764 313751 315744
 0.50 530208 531200 530194 529188 530183 531177 528173 526174
      525177 525185 523192 522197 521205 524208 527210 530208
 0.50 468217 467217 468218 468217 516235 516233 516232 516230
      515229 514226 513224 511224 510225 510228 510230 511231
      511233 512234 513235 514236 516236 516235
 0.50 431871 431862 429852 428845 426838 422834 419833 415834
      412839 412847 413856 415863 419867 423872 426874 429874
      431871
 0.50 416022 417014 415007 412003 410000 407000 404008 398008
      392006 384999 378991 375986 373982 374978 379976 383972
      384965 377957 368955 362955 354956 349956 342958 337960
      333962 328969 326976 324982 316989 313992 314996 319997
      322002 323008 325014 331016 339016 345017 350019 357023
      362025 367024 378029 384036 384040 383044 380047 376049
      379056 379063 375067 373073 372081 371087 371090 373091
      377092 381088 385084 388085 391084 399080 406073 410071
      411067 410064 408058 405052 403048 403040 410033 416022
 0.50 310745 310741 309738 305735 294733 288734 282736 272740
      262745 253751 249755 247760 247767 249774 250780 250786
      249792 246796 244801 243807 243809 246810 250807 274805
      278801 280794 285785 287781 290775 294773 298773 304775
      306769 305755 307748 310745
 1.00 368005 356994 349988 348986 351984 354977 361973 364969
      364965 362963 357962 348965 345966 342969 337976 337981
      341983 339985 334987 331990 330994 327004 329006 331003
      335001 340002 343004 344008 353013 361014 365014 366010
      368005
 1.00 303751 302746 300743 295744 292741 291739 287741 281742
      274743 267746 264749 256757 255761 256765 259769 268777
      272779 275780 278778 286770 291767 296767 300768 301763
      300758 301753 303751
 1.50 342993 343991 342991 341991 341993 342993 342993
 1.50 297756 296750 294750 288751 286747 282746 275746 270748
      268750 265755 263759 264762 268767 274771 282769 288765
      296763 297756
 2.00 289759 287755 285751 281750 275750 271752 269756 268761
      272764 274766 279767 285764 288762 289759

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 563024 563016 560012 553004 549005 545005 539005 537001
      537996 538982 538965 539948 541936 543922 541916 541909
      536884 531859 521845 516837 513832 508835 502836 499839
      494840 491846 488855 484866 477884 474886 471880 466874
      461867 459864 455862 448858 439854 432851 429850 425846
      422842 420837 417830 416822 422797 421785 418773 417758
      418746 419737 418724 419719 418714 417710 414707 409699
      406698 402703 399705 398710 396722 392733 384740 377749
      376753 372758 368764 367769 367775 368788 365798 363809
      361813 358816 353823 350832 352844 354847 359848 363847
      366843 369840 370835 374826 378821 384818 388820 391821
      392824 393826 394831 394839 393844 393851 395856 396863
      404879 408889 406896 405900 401908 399910 394912 385915
      372915 367916 364918 360918 357923 354927 352931 350936
      344938 339940 332940 325940 320939 305943 295958 294962
      293968 294979 295981 292982 289984 287987 282988 272988
      266988 265994 271001 278004 285011 292018 298021 303021
      307019 312019 318019 321017 329015 337011 345007 359997
      369995 378997 381000 384003 387005 388011 389015 389022
      385031 383038 380041 371047 365052 361054 361056 366057
      369056 373057 378060 375063 370062 366063 367066 370069
      372073 372080 376086 382092 389100 388106 386109 381112
      378116 375125 375129 376130 381127 386127 389127 391130
      390136 385143 384152 382157 374177 373182 378185 384189
      386186 385182 386180 394178 397175 402175 412176 425143
      433141 437146 439153 446158 450163 450170 450178 454179
      456182 459182 461180 461177 460176 458177 456173 456168
      457164 458157 456154 455150 456147 461145 467146 471146
      474142 475136 475133 474127 472123 471118 471111 470106
      468102 462094 459086
 0.01 459086 458078 465078 472078 478078 491084 497085 503084
      508080 513077 519076 526077 533077 539075 545074 549071
      557060 559057 560052 561043 562030 563024
 0.01 542149 542139 541130 539124 535120 531119 526121 524125
      522128 521133 519142 516148 513149 511147 506144 502141
      500142 499146 505156 509161 508166 506163 505161 502160
      500159 499162 497165 494165 488164 483165 484173 487178
      489182 489187 488192 486195 483199 475202 471202 469205
      466209 462214 456215 452215 446213 439214 429220 426219
      423221 421223 422226 432228 436230 441229 449225 454223
      459226 464225 469223 478221 491224 494226 496230 499236
      502236 503234 502229 505221 502212 500207 502200 506196
      510195 514198 520207 527212 530213 532211 533203 530189
      529186 529181 531176 537164 542149
 0.01 479241 479239 479236 479235 478234 476234 474234 473236
      474238 474239 475240 477241 478241 479241
 0.01 466237 465234 462232 460234 457233 455233 452234 450234
      448236 449238 453238 455237 458238 461239 463239 466237
 0.01 405215 403209 403205 401203 400201 396200 390197 385193
      382195 380197 380200 385204 390207 395210 400215 403216
      405215
 0.01 345180 346176 345173 344171 343168 341166 338165 337167
      337170 340172 337173 334173 336175 338177 340179 341182
      343182 345180
 0.01 343735 343726 341718 337708 334703 330700 327698 323697
      316698 310700 302706 285716 280720 273722 265727 257733
      251739 248744 246750 244753 243758 245762 245768 243772
      240777 234785 228792 225795 224801 225806 226811 229815
      235816 238816 239818 240824 241830 244834 248837 253837
      257834 256826 253817 252814 255813 259815 266821 270823
      276825 282824 286822 287817 284814 284810 288809 291810
      297810 304809 308807 312804 319799 325790 329786 332781
      337773 340762 343752 343742 343735
 0.01 311905 311896 309888 303882 298880 293880 291882 289885
      285887 283889 283894 287898 293902 299906 302908 306907
      311905
 0.01 259002 255997 252995 248994 238994 234995 232997 235003
      237007 237011 237021 243024 245022 245018 250012 255008
      259002
 0.25 554034 553029 551026 547027 545030 541036 536040 529044
      527046 527052 529055 532056 538055 544052 548047 552039
      554034
 0.25 530978 527972 526961 526949 528940 529932 529921 526906
      524899 521891 518885 513882 507885 505890 503895 502903
      502912 502918 500924 499927 497926 491923 471917 467915
      464917 460922 457927 452931 447933 442935 431937 418941
      412944 406942 394938 384936 378935 372936 362943 353948
      343952 336954 333956 330958 329966 326973 326979 324982
      321987 317990 306994 303996 301998 302002 306006 313008
      320008 325005 330002 337000 348994 352991 357987 364979
      370972 376970 380972 389980 396991 401996 407999 415000
      423000 430001 432006 432013 430020 425030 423037 419040
      409045 404044 399039 397038 394039 392046 393054 396060
      398066 394071 389069 389074 390079 392078 396075 399076
      401074 405071 409074 416073 420076 422079 422084 423092
      427098 432103 440105 446104 451102 453099 452095 447094
      442091 436090 431087 429082 431079 433077 439074 443075
      446077 449075 429057 432053 437052 444052 449054 455055
      460053 466052 473053 476055 474059 464062 463067 466068
      473066 486066 490061 492054 495048 498045 514031 521023
      523016 525007 528992 530978
 0.25 454134 454132 452130 450129 449129 447129 445129 445130
      445133 445135 446136 448136 450136 452136 453135 454134
 0.25 419116 415113 410113 410108 410104 407103 405107 401111
      399113 399119 400125 403126 406126 407124 409119 413119
      417118 419116
 0.25 414148 410145 405145 401138 393141 390144 390151 390155
      389160 383168 383170 386173 390174 393172 396168 398164
      405159 411154 414148
 0.25 403790 403788 401785 399784 395782 394781 390781 387783
      385786 384788 384792 384793 388794 391794 395794 397794
      400795 403792 403790
 0.25 338738 337728 336722 333716 329711 324708 318707 313708
      308710 286721 277728 270738 263746 261752 261756 266761
      270764 272767 271771 271777 272780 275781 280782 284786
      287790 294800 300802 307800 312797 316793 322784 333763
      337751 338738
 0.25 248794 247793 245794 245795 245797 245799 246801 246800
      247798 247796 248796 248794
 0.50 520991 520982 517977 505976 500979 497982 490990 485995
      481997 471999 463006 459009 456013 450024 446036 450041
      453042 455038 453034 455031 465037 471038 475040 481043
      487044 495040 511026 515022 517017 518013 517010 516006
      520991
 0.50 444976 444971 442969 439964 435951 431947 424946 418947
      414950 401952 398965 399982 401988 406991 412992 417990
      428987 435986 438982 444976
 0.50 410152 410150 408150 406150 404150 403149 401148 399148
      397150 397151 397152 398154 399155 400156 402157 404157
      406156 408155 408154 410153 410152
 0.50 354974 353971 350970 344972 340976 335980 332984 330990
      332994 335995 341993 346990 350986 352980 354974
 0.50 334734 333728 331722 326715 322713 318711 312712 307713
      298718 290723 283729 279736 277742 278748 284754 287766
      292774 295785 296792 298796 304796 309795 315789 320780
      323771 326761 331752 333743 334734
 1.00 498013 499008 497006 492005 487007 482007 476009 471013
      469019 468024 469026 473028 476028 481026 486024 491021
      495018 498013
 1.00 422975 421973 421972 419971 419970 417969 416968 414968
      412969 410970 409973 409975 408977 409980 410982 412983
      413982 414981 415980 416980 417979 419979 421978 421977
      422975
 1.00 329733 327727 325722 321719 317718 311717 306717 301720
      297723 291731 290737 292744 296754 298761 303764 307763
      310759 316752 321749 324746 327741 328735 329733
 1.00 340986 339985 337986 337987 339987 340986
 1.00 313777 313775 312773 311773 309773 308774 307776 306778
      305780 305782 304785 305787 307788 309787 311786 312783
      312782 312781 313779 313777 313777
 1.50 322728 318723 312721 306722 303725 300730 297736 296739
      297743 301748 306749 311745 315741 318737 320731 322728
 2.00 309739 309737 308735 306733 305733 304733 303735 302736
      301737 301738 302740 303742 304743 306742 307741 309739


24HR QP VT 08/12Z
 0.01 561908 561890 561875 560854 557841 550819 544812 544794
      543787 541782 539772 531748 527743 521739 514735 509729
      502725 499724 495725 476734 466737 463740 463745 459772
      457781 457786 455791 448809 445820 441829 438837 433842
      408871 405875 401879 395887 390892 384901 363924 352938
      347943 345945 341949 338952 333953 324955 319955 313953
      310952 308956 306960 303964 302969 302976 299985 293994
      293002 294007 297016 299020 302021 307023 311024 318027
      327027 334024 340028 348033 357034 362036 365042 365050
      363054 366057 369061 371071 372075 374078 376078 387082
      396087 401089 402094 402098 401101 399105 393110 387113
      380116 375121 373125 375127 377130 381129 388127 392125
      397127 399133 395138 392140 388141 382148 375155 369164
      368174 360178 358182 359186 367191 379201 385207 391210
      399216 405214 404209 400205 399197 395189 399185 403184
      410180 415178 422179 425174 426165 424155 423150 425146
      426139 428135 430130 433129 435131 435143 436150 438153
      440154 444155 448153 453154 457153 460149 460145 460140
      462138 463130 463123 461116 464112 466109 465104 463099
      461096 443088 439085 437083 438080 438076 440075 443077
      449080 453081 451078 448070 443065 436057 433055 434050
      436046 437037 437021 434009 433998 430987 427974 426971
      428969 432971 435973 438977 442984 446990 455008 457012
      461015 466018 475023 478024 481023 501019 504017 510017
      518017 523016 529016 534016 538012 540008 543006 547001
      551993 554988 557986 559957 560927 559914 561908
 0.01 534184 535179 534175 532168 529163 525158 520154 516152
      512152 509150 505147 495140 488138 487142 490148 494152
      503159 513167 522174 525180 529184 534184
 0.01 398793 398791 394789 389787 386783 383784 382786 378790
      375792 375794 375804 371806 365810 361814 358823 362827
      367825 375817 382809 392802 397798 398793
 0.01 373213 371212 370210 370209 368209 366207 365206 363204
      361203 361204 360206 361207 362208 362209 364210 365211
      366212 367213 369214 371214 373214 373213
 0.01 354715 352705 349698 342688 337690 335689 331690 321696
      314699 308703 299710 293714 289717 284722 281726 280733
      283740 286744 291746 295751 294759 293765 294773 297780
      300785 306788 311789 319788 326786 331783 336779 342768
      346756 350742 352728 354715
 0.01 347183 346178 346172 345168 341166 336164 333162 332165
      335168 339171 340175 341180 344184 346183 347183
 0.01 289022 289016 287012 284011 278010 276009 271010 267012
      267017 269019 274020 279022 281024 285024 289022
 0.01 286831 285825 281822 278819 276815 280812 279809 274803
      269801 266801 265798 269793 265791 263784 262780 262776
      261770 258766 253766 248768 243775 243785 240795 237804
      236809 236816 237826 241829 246829 252823 258823 262825
      270828 278832 286831
 0.25 554895 555886 555876 553858 551844 549835 546830 543826
      539823 535822 531823 528828 526839 524852 520862 515871
      511877 505885 497892 491898 486904 481912 478917 474920
      460929 457932 455937 454945 456950 469962 471964 472969
      470974 471980 472985 475989 478992 482993 487994 492992
      499987 510975 521957 526951 534947 542942 545938 547932
      552911 554895
 0.25 454115 452105 451099 448096 438094 434092 430089 426087
      424091 426101 425106 425110 429113 433114 440116 444116
      446118 449126 451124 453117 454115
 0.25 457893 457885 454879 451874 447872 443873 439876 433883
      425891 417898 403910 395916 387923 380929 375936 367944
      359950 351956 348958 343960 333963 327965 323968 318970
      315975 314979 314986 314993 317998 324007 327010 331013
      340017 344018 351018 361015 372012 376011 381012 384007
      386001 390988 402975 414956 426942 433932 437921 439916
      442912 449906 455899 457893
 0.25 425065 426059 425056 422049 420041 418034 414029 409025
      397019 390016 385015 382021 382029 382040 380047 381052
      382054 388058 392063 398065 410071 417070 422067 425065
 0.25 413157 414152 412148 407148 404149 398152 394158 389163
      384168 385172 387174 392174 394172 399167 405163 410160
      413157
 0.25 390199 388194 385188 383181 381179 378178 372180 366182
      364185 369189 374193 377196 382200 386202 389201 390199
 0.25 342704 340699 338696 329699 314710 306716 302719 300724
      297727 298731 300732 307735 310740 309745 306754 306760
      306767 307771 310775 314778 319779 325778 328776 335769
      339762 343750 344739 342728 341717 343709 342704
 0.25 258809 258807 256806 255808 256809 258810 258809
 0.50 549871 549858 548847 545840 541836 538835 535838 531845
      529853 527860 521875 514886 507898 503903 499908 489917
      481927 477932 476936 475941 478948 482952 492961 498961
      504957 512946 519936 529927 540928 544920 546912 548904
      548895 547879 549871
 0.50 444108 442106 441104 439104 437105 435106 434107 433108
      433109 435111 437111 438111 440111 442111 442110 444108
      444108
 0.50 417062 416052 415043 410037 403033 396030 393032 391036
      389045 390051 392053 398057 404060 410064 414064 417062
 0.50 416933 416928 414926 407926 396930 391934 386938 379945
      369954 360961 350967 339972 333974 327978 325984 326992
      328999 332004 336008 340010 348013 352012 354010 362000
      370992 373988 378985 396969 405959 407954 410947 413938
      416933
 0.50 386198 385196 383193 381191 380189 378187 375184 373184
      371183 368185 369188 372190 374192 376194 379196 380197
      384199 386198
 0.50 337705 335703 333704 328706 317716 313722 312724 314727
      316734 315742 310758 310765 314772 321775 328772 333766
      337760 339752 340744 340735 338727 337716 337707 337705
 1.00 535888 535886 535885 534884 532884 531886 530887 530888
      530891 531892 532893 534892 534891 535889 535888
 1.00 337743 335734 330729 326731 325734 321741 319748 316755
      315759 315764 317767 320769 325768 331763 335756 336749
      337743
 1.00 346993 346991 346993 346993
 1.50 334747 333741 331737 327740 324745 323748 322752 320756
      318761 321765 325765 328762 330759 332754 334750 334747

$$





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