Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 300857
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 30/1200 UTC THRU APR 02/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A LARGE TROUGH OFFSHORE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK THROUGH THE MEAN
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGE POSITION MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY
NIGHT. THE MOIST PLUME AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM IS NEAR THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 0.50-0.75
INCHES EXPECTED WEST OF THE CASCADES. THEREFORE PRECIPITATION IS
NOT LIKELY TO BE ESPECIALLY HEAVY...BUT THE MODELS SHOW GOOD
AGREEMENT...AND ARE BACKED BY THE GEFS REFORECAST ANALOG CASES IN
PREDICTING AT LEAST 0.25 INCH AVERAGE AMOUNTS THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING ALL ALONG THE COASTAL RANGES AND CASCADES. HEAVIER AMOUNTS
ABOVE 0.50 INCHES AND LIKELY FARTHER NORTH...APPROACHING ONE INCH
ON THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA. WPC TRENDED SLIGHTLY HEAVIER THAN THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST...USING A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS AND 00Z CANADIAN
GEM REGIONAL.


...GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST...

OVER NEW ENGLAND AND THE MID ATLANTIC THIS MORNING...AN INITIAL
SWATH OF VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR WITHIN WARM ADVECTION
AHEAD OF A STRONG BUT PROGRESSIVE...AND SOMEWHAT MOISTURE
STARVED...TROUGH. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MOIST WEST TO
NORTHWESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW HITTING THE MOUNTAINS WITH LIGHT
PRECIPITATION TOTALS THIS AFTERNOON IN UPSTATE NEW YORK THROUGH
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. AT THE SAME TIME...A SMALLER MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS
GRADIENTS / RESULT IN MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AS IT DIVES THROUGH
MN/WI/MI THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS HAD EARLIER SHOWN
SOME NORTH TO SOUTH SPREAD IN PLACING THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION
SWATH. WPC LEANED HEAVILY TOWARD THE MORE RECENTLY INITIALIZED 00Z
GFS...21Z SREF...AND 00Z GEM REGIONAL. THE NAM APPEARED TOO FAR
NORTH IN ITS QPF...ALTHOUGH ITS MASS FIELDS WERE IN LINE WITH
CONSENSUS. THE ECMWF AND UKMET HAD BEEN HOLDOUTS...WITH A MORE
SOUTHERLY TRACK...BUT THE 00Z ECMWF AND UKMET CAME NORTH TO MEET
THE DEVELOPING CONSENSUS. LIFT WITH THIS SHORTWAVE BECOMES WELL
ORGANIZED AND PRONOUNCED IN THE GFS...SO WE LEANED TOWARD GENEROUS
AREAL COVERAGE...BUT WE WERE MORE CONSERVATIVE WITH AMOUNTS. THIS
IS BASED ON RECENT MODEL PERFORMANCE ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S.
DURING WHAT IS A RELATIVELY DRY PATTERN...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
PEAKING NEAR 0.50 INCHES AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES A GIVEN LOCATION.
SOME LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY RECEIVE MORE THAN 0.25 INCHES OF
LIQUID...BUT WE WERE MORE CONSERVATIVE...FORECASTING MAINLY
0.15-0.25 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FROM NORTHERN MINNESOTA
TO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.


...SOUTHEAST...

THE MODELS DID A FAIR JOB OF PREDICTING THE LOCATION OF THE
CONVECTIVE EVENT THAT WAS EVOLVING OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
ADJACENT STATES EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MODERATE FORCING AND WELL
DEFINED SYNOPTIC FEATURES LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE GOOD
FORECAST...AND THE MODELS ARE GENERALLY SIMILAR TO ONE ANOTHER
GOING FORWARD IN TIME. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE MID LEVEL FORCING AND
TREND TOWARD INCREASING MOISTURE RETURN / SUSTAINED
INSTABILITY...CONVECTION MAY NOT COMPLETELY WANE IN THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. SEVERAL 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP RAIN/STORMS GOING
INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE EVENT OUTRUNS THE
DEEPER MOISTURE AND DROPS WELL AWAY FROM THE BETTER MID LEVEL
LIFT. FOR QPF WPC PREFERRED THE PAST TWO RUNS OF THE WRF-NMM...00Z
NAM CONEST...AND 00Z GEM REGIONAL. THESE MODELS PLACED HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS...ABOVE 0.25-0.50 INCHES AREAL AVERAGE...ON THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLANK...CLOSER TO THE MOIST/UNSTABLE SOURCE REGION
THAT WILL MIGRATE TOWARD ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THEY ALSO
MINIMIZE THE NORTHWARD EXTENT OF 0.25 INCH AMOUNTS UP INTO NORTH
CAROLINA WHICH WILL BE FARTHER DOWN THE PW GRADIENT AND WILL
EXPERIENCE QUICK PROGRESSION OF THE LIFTING MECHANISMS.


...SOUTHWEST INCLUDING TEXAS...

DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/ADJACENT WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS...

WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL SPREAD
INLAND AS HEIGHT FALLS FROM A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH REACH THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  A
LIMITED CONNECTION TO A SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE SUPPLY SHOULD KEEP
TOTALS LIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED
TOTALS OVER THE TERRAIN.  THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIFT NORTH AND EAST INTO CANADA ON WEDNESDAY...BUT ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE DIGGING INTO THE WEST COULD TRIGGER ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
AND LIGHT PRECIP FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO NORTHERN ROCKIES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FIRST TROUGH
SWINGING IN OVER THE NORTHWEST BUT ARE STILL STRUGGLING WITH HOW
TO HANDLE THE EVOLUTION OF THE SECOND SHORTWAVE DIGGING INTO THE
WEST.  THE FORECAST WAS BASED ON THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF...WHICH
RESULTED IN MINIMAL CHANGES TO CONTINUITY.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

CONVECTION SHOULD BREAK OUT WITH POTENT COLD FRONT PUSHING
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY.  THE STRONG FRONT...COMBINED WITH
MOISTURE SURGING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF AND FAVORABLE RIGHT
ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS...SHOULD RESULT IN A WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF
HEAVY PRECIPITATION.

MODELS ARE ALL ON-BOARD WITH SHOWING A STRONG SIGNAL FOR A HEAVY
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION EVENT...BUT ARE STILL VARYING WITH THE
EXACT TIMING AND PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.  IN GENERAL THE GFS WAS ON THE FASTER SIDE OF
GUIDANCE...WHILE THE ECMWF STAYED ON THE SLOWER EDGE OF THE MODEL
SPREAD.  THE ECMWF HAD SLIGHTLY MORE SUPPORT AMONG OTHER
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...SO THE WPC FORECAST WAS SLIGHTLY WEIGHTED
TOWARDS THE SLOWER ECMWF.


...NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES...

A NARROW SWATH OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ZIPPING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC STATES ON TUESDAY.  THE LOW WILL SCOOT OFFSHORE BY
TUESDAY EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY SWEEP THE PRECIPITATION OUT
TO SEA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

ALTHOUGH 00Z DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE WAS FAIRLY SIMILAR A SWATH OF
PRECIP CENTERED OVER PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY...MODELS HAVE
STILL BEEN TAKING RELATIVELY LARGE SHIFTS WITH THE EXACT AXIS AND
AMOUNTS.  THE WPC FORECAST WAS BASED ON A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE
FARTHER NORTH GFS AND FARTHER SOUTH ECMWF.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST...

THE TAIL END OF THE COLD FRONT QUICKLY PUSHING THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST SHOULD IGNITE PRECIPITATION WITH ITS INITIAL PLUNGE INTO
THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT.  THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN STALL OUT AND
LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR
PRECIPITATION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST ON
TUESDAY.  INITIALLY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT AND
DISORGANIZED...BUT AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES MEXICO AND GULF
MOISTURE SURGES NORTHWARD...SOME HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

THE UKMET REMAINS AN OUTLIER IN THE 12Z MODEL CYCLE.  EXCLUDING
IT...MODELS WERE SIMILAR WITH THE BIG PICTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER...BUT ARE STILL SHOWING SOME SPREAD WITH PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPING ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ACROSS TEXAS.
THE WPC FORECAST STARTED WITH A BLEND BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF.=

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

SULLIVAN/BANN

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 524261 522248 519241 517234 519226 523220 527219 531220
      534222 536220 538213 538207 537204 535197 530184 526178
      524172 518163 515158 510154 507154 505156 508159 509162
      508164 504163 502162 500164 499170 502174 504182 508187
      511193 515196 517199 519198 518204 518220 516222 513222
      508217 501207 496204 489203 480204 476208 470209 460213
      453212 449215 445216 439215 434218 428220 425220 423222
      420227 415230 410233 406235 401237 399241 402246 410248
      413253 418258 424261 428263 430270 430277 433283 437287
      443289 450289 454288 463284 468283 473282 479280 482281
      484284 494283 498283 503285 508291 519285 524261
 0.01 530984 530978 529974 525967 521960 519957 517952 514942
      511934 500918 497908 493900 484889 481886 476887 470892
      466890 463885 458874 443846 442839 441834 440828 438824
      434813 430805 428801 429795 433790 439782 444774 455762
      458759 461755 465746 468739 471731 476714 481706 483702
      482695 480686 479679 478674 473666 467661 465658 462656
      459654 456654 453653 451656 447659 445664 441666 435668
      427676 423681 417686 408698 404706 403711 402715 400716
      394721 390723 386726 383729 380727 381724 383720 383715
      381709 379705 375701 371699 364701 357705 344717 334727
      330733 327740 321759 318778 312796 309802 307801 303804
      301813 299820 298832 297838 295840 293839 291839 291844
      291855 293860 296868 299872 301878 304888 311902 315911
      317920 318923 318929 317937 316944 317952 321952 322945
      325936 326932 327926 327916 328913 330910 333919 333926
      332939 334948 336956 334965 331975 333979 335982 341984
      348983 352980 354975 359965 361954 361943 358926 357921
      355918 351911 346904 339898 336897 333896 333893 337885
      340877 343867 344861 346856 351848 359836 362832 365829
      370822 392804 399822 403832 408840 411851 415861 419868
      423875 428883 432894 437901 438905 441909 447922 455936
      464952 474967 479974 485982 489988 492992 495993 500993
      503991 505988 506983 506979 508980 512983 520987 522989
      525988 530984
 0.01 486164 485161 483160 480160 477159 475156 472155 470152
      467152 468155 469160 471163 473163 475161 478162 481163
      485164 486164
 0.01 461180 461178 459180 457179 457182 459182 461180 461180
 0.01 413769 408752 404746 402744 400745 397749 392762 389769
      384775 380782 377783 375787 367800 365806 366809 368809
      372806 376801 381796 394788 400784 408781 411779 412776
      412772 413769
 0.01 389116 387115 385115 383115 381115 379117 381117 383117
      385118 387118 388116 389116
 0.01 381076 381072 379067 379060 377055 374046 371039 366032
      359036 358045 359051 359057 362059 366063 371068 373069
      374073 375078 375082 377080 381076
 0.01 341100 340093 339089 336084 334080 336078 341074 340069
      338069 335071 329074 327079 328083 333088 335093 338098
      341100
 0.01 341054 340051 338049 332050 329048 325048 323052 321059
      320063 322066 328066 333067 337065 338060 340056 341054
 0.01 321091 320087 317084 316079 313075 308069 301063 296057
      294054 293048 289041 285041 282043 277050 277056 276059
      274059 272058 268061 268065 271068 275075 274079 277082
      293090 299094 304102 309108 311111 315112 318108 318102
      319095 321091
 0.01 302002 302999 299996 296995 293997 288000 280998 278997
      273996 267999 267003 269006 276008 284011 291013 294012
      298011 302004 302002
 0.25 520269 519263 518253 515245 514237 512231 506225 497213
      483211 479214 477219 479223 484225 490225 493233 493237
      492240 481237 478231 471233 467237 461236 456234 451235
      441237 439240 442243 450244 455243 458243 462244 463248
      463251 466255 468260 470264 474265 478268 482268 488268
      493269 498273 500276 504278 507275 507269 509266 512269
      517276 520269
 0.25 523189 522187 522184 522183 521181 521180 520181 519181
      518181 517182 516185 517187 517188 518189 520190 521191
      523189
 0.25 468222 469218 466216 461217 456217 452220 446222 440222
      439224 440226 444228 449226 451225 455225 461228 466224
      468222
 0.25 462716 461711 460708 457709 454710 450714 447717 445721
      444726 445730 448732 452730 456729 459724 461721 462716
 0.25 445747 444742 441743 437745 436746 433749 433752 433756
      435758 439755 440754 442752 444749 445747
 0.25 434852 432850 432849 431850 432851 434852 434852
 0.25 365721 365719 361718 356722 353726 349731 345736 343741
      340746 341749 345748 348745 353740 356736 359732 363726
      365721
 0.25 349802 348798 345799 342802 340806 338810 337815 335819
      336826 337828 340823 342821 343816 345812 347807 349803
      349802
 0.25 336845 336837 335834 332835 330839 328846 327853 325859
      324866 326870 331872 332865 334859 335852 336845
 0.25 322855 321847 318838 315832 312830 308831 306839 305843
      303845 302849 302855 305863 310867 311872 314875 316875
      319873 321864 322857 322855
 0.50 516264 516258 516253 513244 511234 505228 501221 498218
      494218 491220 492226 494236 496241 494245 488241 484242
      481239 479235 474233 472236 472240 476247 480255 485262
      494266 499271 503274 505270 504260 505257 508261 515265
      516264
 0.50 488221 490219 489216 487215 486215 485215 484215 482215
      480216 480217 480218 481221 482221 483222 484222 486221
      488221 488221
 0.50 315858 315856 315855 314856 313857 313858 313859 315858
      315858
 1.00 513258 513253 512250 510242 508235 503231 501227 496222
      494223 494226 496233 498239 500245 504250 508256 509258
      513258
 1.00 502267 500264 499258 497253 494249 491246 487246 485251
      486255 489258 493261 497264 500267 502267
 1.50 510254 511251 509248 509243 507240 506238 503236 500235
      499235 499238 500241 502243 503247 506250 507252 508254
      510254
 1.50 496260 497257 496256 496254 495254 494252 493251 492250
      491248 489248 489249 489251 489252 489255 490255 491257
      493258 493259 494260 496260 496260
 1.50 499229 497227 496227 495228 497231 498232 499229
 2.00 507248 507245 507244 505242 504241 503241 503243 504244
      505246 506247 506248 507248
 2.00 494256 493256 492253 491253 492254 493256 494256

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 489613 489616 488620 486622 483625 482627 479629 476630
      474632 472632 469633 466634 462634 460633 457633 455632
      453631 450630 447629 447628
 0.01 553127 553119 553106 554095 553087 553078 552074 552068
      552050 552042 553032 554025 554021 555016 556007 557004
      557999 555982 547952 546944 543939 535931 527923 520915
      514911 510909 505907 500903 496901 492896 487892 482891
      478889 472891 470893 470896 471902 475907 480909 482910
      484914 487920 489925 494930 499939 502944 507950 510956
      511964 512973 512984 508998 501008 494015 485024 481028
      478034 475039 472047 468060 465066 462070 450073 443072
      440073 439076 437081 438088 440091 439096 437103 434110
      438113 445124 448126 447128 442130 440137 437142 435148
      435155 437163 437166 435168 429168 430171 435175 436179
      435183 429185 426189 429202 434202 437208 421209 422216
      420220 418222 413225 411231 406234 403238 402245 403249
      405250 409254 412254 414256 414260 415263 421265 426264
      431261 435259 440259 453263 464262 469261 474262 477263
      479265 482270 486275 492280 497284 502286 506284 510278
      510271 508266 506260 506255 509255 514253 516248 515242
      516233 515224 513217 513210 513204 516204 520209 524210
      528209 530208 531204 534198 535188 531175 530168 529165
      529160 533156 539154 543152 545147 553127
 0.01 536032 536026 535021 533016 532011 530013 527013 524015
      520018 517025 514030 512035 501060 493069 491071 490076
      489078 488083 484098 480102 478107 474112 471118 472123
      473124 480125 489132 492133 494130 497125 501120 505117
      508112 511105 517093 520088 521083 522081 525063 527055
      529050 533040 536032
 0.01 493656 489647 485647 484651 481657 478660 469663 465672
      462681 460691 456700 453705 451708 447711 442713 441716
      443718 446730 451728 454725 460719 465712 469704 472698
      475695 479687 485679 489673 491667 492663 493656
 0.01 494238 494236 493233 491232 490232 490234 491237 492239
      494238
 0.01 485197 485191 483189 479180 478177 476174 473173 470174
      465179 462187 457192 455198 456203 458206 462207 466207
      469205 471202 475202 480200 485197
 0.01 470885 470880 468878 468875 464873 462873 460874 459876
      461878 462881 463884 465886 466888 468888 470885
 0.01 434100 434097 432097 431097 432097 434100 434100
 0.01 432790 431780 430774 427765 425760 422755 422748 422732
      412711 413705 414698 410685 406679 405675 407667 407661
      404655 401652 395649 390650 387652 385654 382658 375667
      371671 366675 357682 349689 345693 342698 338709 334721
      335728 339731 344730 347726 350721 354717 365720 370723
      372729 375735 376743 377752 377758 377767 379773 386783
      386791 383796 377806 377811 380814 386812 389817 392822
      396824 402825 408824 412824 415826 419828 421835 425841
      430840 431836 433828 432821 430816 428807 430797 432790
 0.01 419161 420159 420157 421154 421152 420151 419151 418151
      417153 416153 416156 415158 414160 416161 417161 419161
      419161
 0.01 413118 413117 412115 410115 408116 406116 404116 406117
      408117 410117 411120 413118 413118
 0.01 378071 377069 377067 376066 375064 373062 371061 370061
      368061 367063 368064 369066 371066 373068 374071 374073
      376074 376073 378071 378071
 0.01 379053 379051 378048 374048 370048 369050 367050 363052
      360051 359054 359056 363056 365054 368054 370053 374053
      377053 379053
 0.01 373932 373925 372920 371916 368912 364904 365894 363872
      359863 358857 358850 361840 364836 365832 365822 356823
      343831 335832 332830 327831 321837 313834 309832 307829
      305825 303821 298815 291811 286811 282813 279819 279824
      283827 289831 294837 298845 302850 304851 304854 302857
      302862 304867 310873 316878 319881 319887 324906 327915
      328919 329925 329931 327934 319938 312943 308949 301955
      294957 276962 270964 262968 259970 257974 253982 252987
      249988 246990 242993 240000 242004 245005 252010 254013
      256018 259027 262033 266037 269038 275040 279039 283039
      290035 292033 295034 298037 301046 303050 307053 314054
      318046 321037 322027 326020 329017 333015 339015 343013
      351009 355003 359994 363987 366985 368981 371976 372973
      372961 370956 371949 373932
 0.01 331770 331762 328757 325755 320754 316757 314761 309769
      304772 298774 293775 290780 290786 292790 296793 301794
      312792 320785 323782 326777 331770
 0.01 309081 309076 307074 300071 294067 293063 290061 285061
      282063 282070 277073 277078 279080 288082 292083 295086
      298090 301090 303087 308082 309081
 0.25 480616 479619 477621 476622 474623 473624 471625 470626
      469626 468626 466625 464625 464624 462623
 0.25 541116 541108 539101 534097 530100 526105 524110 522117
      522121 523123 526125 529126 535126 539123 541116
 0.25 524190 524182 523176 519168 517166 513167 505163 498165
      493164 489166 486169 489174 493182 497184 500188 503191
      508193 516193 521192 524190
 0.25 513231 513224 512220 507212 505208 503208 501210 495207
      489206 483207 475208 469212 462215 459216 454215 448217
      440217 437221 437225 437228 439230 441230 443232 436235
      430239 427242 427247 431249 434249 442247 450247 464246
      468246 472249 480253 484255 487258 488255 487249 487244
      485240 481233 466232 462231 457231 450232 476224 492226
      497233 498233 499227 501222 503220 506223 509230 511233
      513231
 0.25 490139 489137 487136 486135 484134 482134 481134 480135
      480137 480138 482139 484140 485141 487141 489140 490140
      490139
 0.25 476159 475154 474153 470148 468140 463137 459140 456146
      452151 453159 459160 464161 471163 476159
 0.25 455176 454176 453174 453173 452173 452176 454177 455176
 0.25 415786 415782 413780 409777 406776 403778 399782 396789
      393792 390797 389801 390805 395802 401799 407797 412794
      415788 415786
 0.25 403767 404764 404762 402761 401762 401763 399765 399766
      400767 401768 403768 403767
 0.25 355914 353905 352897 348879 346870 343862 338858 334857
      329857 326859 324863 323868 324872 330887 332902 336919
      338928 337938 335945 332954 330962 328969 326978 323986
      315996 309002 306009 307013 310013 316009 324999 328992
      333987 345980 350974 353967 354947 354938 354929 355914
 0.50 517188 519184 518180 515177 510176 507174 502171 499169
      497170 500175 503177 505178 506182 508185 512188 517188
      517188
 0.50 493220 492214 490212 487211 482210 477210 468215 465218
      461220 455217 450219 442222 447226 453225 457225 462223
      466223 470220 479221 483222 488221 493220
 0.50 466154 467152 465151 465152 464154 465155 466154
 0.50 463146 464144 463143 462144 461145 460146 461147 462148
      463146
 0.50 346906 346902 345899 344896 342893 341891 338889 336892
      336895 337897 337902 339906 340908 342910 344910 346908
      346906
 0.50 345971 345967 345963 345958 343958 342960 339962 338965
      337967 336971 336975 339977 342976 344973 345971
 1.00 480216 479213 477213 475213 474214 474217 475217 477217
      478216 480216

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 561993 561984 561975 560961 560945 560935 559919 557903
      553872 552864 551859 550853 547849 543843 538834 528820
      522812 519805 515801 504787 493774 491771 487768 480765
      472761 467763 462765 455769 451777 447785 447791 446796
      446802 443807 440812 437815 434820 432826 430836 429850
      428856 426860 424864 421868 414872 405878 399886 396896
      392904 387913 382919 379929 376940 374944 374951 374958
      373961 371967 371973 375983 377988 383989 386991 392991
      399987 402986 405989 409990 414989 424985 429979 433973
      435969 438961 441958 445955 449954 453951 457945 461934
      462928 465925 479910 482909 485914 490920 493922 498923
      501925 502929 504938 504946 501962 500976 500980 499987
      496996 495001 494010 495016 497022 499024 501031 498043
      496049 491050 483054 476059 472070 470074 469082 467094
      464098 461100 457096 456091 457086 455079 453075 452073
      452070 454064 458061 479035 478029 474025 473019 471014
      469014 466018 464023 461028 451044 437051 432050 428048
      425046 423051 419063 415069 411066 407062 409055 410049
      412043 412040 408037 399037 395050 392055 392057 391059
      388062 385065 383066 380065 378065 376073 375077 379078
      382077 388078 389082 392082 395076 399076 404073 408072
      409075 413075 420072 424069 428069 433076 436078 438079
      438082 435085 436090 436093 434094 431097 430107 434115
      441117 443120 447120 450122 453123 454125 453128 449136
      446138 443143 443147 441149 441154 449161 453164 453167
      451168 447172 445178 441180 439183 438192 439197 439204
      437207 434210 430207 425204 422207 423212 422216 420218
      414221 412225 411229 411231 415241 421248 429254 434259
      438263 443265 448266 452265 456265 463266 474270 480272
      485272 492268 498262 499254 498248 498244 501246 506253
      509263 511268 513269 517265 517256 519241
 0.01 519241 500204 496197 491196 487199 480203 471204 467205
      464203 461199 459192 460188 462182 464177 463171 464166
      467166 467169 474168 483173 487175 490174 493174 495176
      497180 499185 504187 512184 520186 524184 526179 528174
      527168 522157 517149 511143 507139 505134 501124 503119
      507118 514124 518128 523129 539126 542122 544117 548107
      546095 546088 548083 552073 554067 554058 556023 558005
      561993
 0.01 431243 431241 429241 428242 428245 429246 430245 431245
      431243
 0.01 430188 431185 430184 429184 427184 425186 424188 424190
      426190 428190 428189 430188 430188
 0.01 401204 400202 400201 398200 396200 396201 395203 395205
      396205 398204 399205 401205 401204
 0.01 404153 405149 401145 400141 400138 397138 395140 389141
      387143 388148 390153 393154 397152 398157 402156 404153
 0.01 409110 409108 409105 409103 407102 407103 407105 405107
      405109 407112 409110 409110
 0.01 370936 370925 369917 367908 366902 364898 360891 356884
      350872 348867 348862 348857 349853 352846 358839 362834
      361828 358827 354827 349833 345840 338837 332834 327828
      325825 324820 322816 321811 319804 320800 319798 318779
      315777 311777 308778 305780 302781 300777 296776 293778
      291789 286795 285801 284809 287817 293833 297839 299846
      302853 306860 309866 314872 319877 323884 322889 320891
      318892 315896 284943 274952 263961 259966 257973 260980
      262982 266983 273986 279989 290998 299998 305995 314986
      319982 324976 327970 329966 334965 350961 354958 359953
      366945 370936
 0.25 550047 551035 551024 551013 550003 548994 547982 547960
      548937 548912 547902 546893 540877 533866 525856 523849
      521839 519832 515824 508815 499805 492797 487792 482789
      476787 470788 467793 465802 460817 458823 457832 458843
      461850 462853 463858 464864 465867 469871 474873 486878
      508888 511896 513902 518918 519937 519950 517958 513975
      512986 512995 511004 512007 515009 526015 529021 532023
      536023 539024 541026 542035 542047 540057 535074 535080
      537083 540080 542077 546063 549054 550047
 0.25 528103 528098 527095 525089 522083 516080 512077 508076
      505077 502083 501088 502092 505098 508102 513105 519108
      524107 528103
 0.25 512155 512154 512152 511151 509150 508149 506148 504150
      506152 507154 509155 510156 512156 512155
 0.25 493258 494255 493252 492245 489241 484239 478233 473235
      469238 464237 458235 454236 449238 450242 455244 464243
      472246 482250 490257 493258
 0.25 487220 488216 487213 484211 481210 479210 476211 474211
      471213 469215 469220 473220 476220 478220 481220 485221
      487220
 0.25 488141 487140 485139 484141 485141 487142 488141
 0.25 482138 480137 479136 477136 475136 475137 477138 479138
      480138 482138
 0.25 450224 451222 450221 448220 447220 445220 444220 443221
      441221 441222 441223 443224 444224 446225 448225 449225
      450224
 0.25 450918 450910 449903 446899 443894 439893 434896 427905
      420911 417914 412917 403922 398929 393939 386947 384950
      382956 382963 383970 386974 391977 395977 400976 410973
      417968 426961 431952 438945 445937 450918
 0.25 344895 344889 342885 338878 336868 333860 328853 325846
      317830 308817 303817 303820 305825 305831 308841 311848
      316855 320862 325867 330873 333875 335879 338888 341894
      344895
 0.25 321949 320944 316941 312939 307938 297941 288946 281952
      278957 277962 277972 282974 288973 298970 303969 308966
      314960 321952 321949
 0.50 541933 540917 538910 537912 535919 533925 531939 528955
      526968 525977 526984 533992 537992 539987 540968 540949
      541933
 0.50 526891 526886 525884 524881 522878 520875 519873 517871
      515869 517872 518876 519879 521883 522886 522889 524892
      526891
 0.50 502826 501821 498818 496814 493810 491807 487805 485809
      483813 482819 485824 488826 492827 495828 500827 502826
 0.50 480241 480240 480239 479237 477236 476236 474237 474239
      475241 476242 478243 480242 480241
 0.50 487856 486851 485846 482842 478840 474840 469841 467843
      468849 471853 473856 477860 480862 484863 487859 487856
 0.50 444921 444915 442911 436908 426917 421923 416926 411928
      407928 402931 397938 394945 393948 391954 396961 398961
      400958 404954 404961 408963 412962 418958 422952 429938
      433932 438926 444921
 0.50 303947 299947 296947 290949 287951 284954 282958 285962
      288962 292961 296958 298956 301953 303948 303947
 1.00 425935 426931 423929 420931 417933 416935 414938 413940
      413945 415947 416947 418945 420942 421940 423938 425935

$$




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