Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 181944
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
344 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...DRY AIR TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MOIST
CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. EVEN
SO...EXPECT MINIMUM RH VALUES AT OF BELOW 40 PERCENT FROM THE M 59
CORRIDOR NORTHWARD INTO THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AS EASTERLY WINDS
GUST TO NEAR 25 MPH. THEREAFTER...RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA AND
PERSIST INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH THE AREA.
SHOWERS WILL THEN PERSIST ON MONDAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES REMAINING
ABOVE 50 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES HOLD NEAR 60.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-191415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
344 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2120-2620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......810-1010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2780-3280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-191415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
344 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......690-890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3340-3840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-191415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
344 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1690-2190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750-950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 45 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (80).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3720-4220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

DG



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