Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 041010
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNHAPPY CAMPER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
610 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2135 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN OFF AND ON AT THE FIRE SITE THROUGH
10 AM. THE RISK FOR RAIN WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER THAT...AND
END BY 2 PM. SKIES WILL PARTIALLY CLEAR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON.
UNTIL THEN...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH WILL BE COMMON. WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT...AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE IN THE DAY AFTER THE SUN HAS COME OUT.

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE HIGH THIS MORNING...BUT LOWER SHARPLY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90  95  97  97  96  95  94  93  92  84  72  60
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............60  59  58  60  61  63  66  68  69  70  70  69
RH..............69  75  80  78  75  70  63  59  55  49  47  44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
SMOKE DISP......0   0   0   100 200 300 400 400 500 500 600 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51  40  34  32  28  23  19  15  13  12  12  11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  65  61  57  53  49  47  45  43  41  40  39
RH..............43  43  46  49  54  61  65  68  73  79  82  85
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......400 200 0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     8      18     30     40     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     43     53     60     62     63
RH..............89     79     52     39     35     34
20 FT WIND......N 1    N 3    NE 4   NE 5   E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      5      5
SMOKE DISP......0      0      200    500    400    300

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF ZOLTOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...STEVE NURSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150503.UNHAP.02/APX



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