Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KBGM 190205
FWSBGM

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE SCOTT...SILVIX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
1005 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES AS A
RESULT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS WARM TODAY...BUT IT WILL STILL BE MILD AND
VERY DRY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY QUICKLY FINDING ITS WAY INTO THE MID
20S PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE VEERING IN DIRECTION
WITH TIME...COMING OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND BECOMING A BIT
GUSTY LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. SUNSHINE WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY
TO INCREASING THIN HIGH CLOUDS MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WITH A WETTING
RAIN INBOUND FOR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ABOUT A
HALF INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THIN HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............7   11  14  17  20  25  30  35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  51  55  57  60  61  62  61
RH..................47  39  30  28  26  25  26  28
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   7   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10  10  10  15  15  15  17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........THICKENING CLOUDS. WETTING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............39     49     66     83     100    99
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59     55     51     48     45     43
RH..................29     37     48     58     70     82
20 FT WIND..........SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   E 10   E 11   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....17     17     18     20     20     25

$$
FORECASTER...PELLERITO
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150419.LAKES.01/BGM



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