Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS75 KBOU 162227
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL RANCH RX...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE/PARKS AND OPEN SPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
427 PM MDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
THROUGH THE MORNING. ABOUT 6 TO 10 INCHES COULD BE EXPECTED TO FALL
FROM NOW UNTIL IGNITION TIME. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
NORTHERLY TONIGHT WHILE INCREASING SPEED THEN BECOME MORE
NORTHEASTERLY TOMORROW...WITH SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. CONTINUED
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP DISPERSION POOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH ONLY SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME MORE SHOWERY SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH CONTINUED WETTER
AND COOLER CONDITIONS THAN AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........72%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 1700-2700
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 8-9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL RANCH RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/16-15100100100 29100   N 10 10 3 1 SSE 28  2106 NNE 14 24931 P
04/16-16100100100 29100   N  9  9 3 1 SSE 26  1876 NNE 14 21910 P
04/16-17100 99 98 29100   N  9  9 3 1 SSE 25  1646 NNE 13 18888 P
04/16-18 99 99 98 30100   N 10 10 3 1 SSE 25  1416 NNE 13 15867 P
04/16-19 99 99 98 31100   N 10 10 3 1 SSE 21  1331 NNE 13 15161 P
04/16-20 99100100 32 99   N 12 12 2 1  SE 16  1245  NE 14 14455 P
04/16-21 99100100 33100   N 13 13 2 1  SE 12  1160  NE 14 13750 P
04/16-22 99100100 34 97   N 13 13 2 1 ESE 16  1270  NE 13 13929 P
04/16-23 99100100 34 96   N 15 24 2 1   E 21  1379  NE 12 14107 P
04/17-00100100100 34 96   N 15 24 2 1 ENE 25  1489  NE 12 14286 P
04/17-01100100100 34 97   N 15 24 2 1 ENE 28  1439  NE 13 15054 P
04/17-02100100100 33 99   N 17 28 2 1   E 30  1389 NNE 13 15821 P
04/17-03100100100 33100   N 18 30 2 1   E 32  1339 NNE 14 16589 P
04/17-04100100100 32100   N 18 30 2 1 ESE 28  1171 NNE 15 15257 P
04/17-05100100100 31100   N 18 30 3 1  SE 23  1004 NNE 16 13924 P
04/17-06100100100 30100   N 17 28 3 1 SSE 17   837 NNE 17 12591 P
04/17-07100100100 30100   N 17 28 3 1 SSE 20   954 NNE 18 15113 P
04/17-08100100100 31100   N 17 28 2 1  SE 21  1071 NNE 18 17635 P
04/17-09100100100 32100   N 17 28 2 1  SE 22  1188  NE 20 20157 P
04/17-10100 99 98 32100   N 16 25 2 1  SE 24  1294  NE 18 21238 P
04/17-11100 98 97 33100 NNE 15 24 3 1 ESE 25  1401 NNE 18 22320 P
04/17-12 99 96 94 34100 NNE 14 22 3 1 ESE 28  1507 NNE 18 23401 P
04/17-13 98 95 92 34100 NNE 14 14 3 1 ESE 28  1823 NNE 16 24810 P
04/17-14 96 95 92 35100  NE 13 13 3 1 ESE 26  2138 NNE 15 26220 P
04/17-15 94 95 92 35100  NE 13 13 3 1 ESE 25  2453 NNE 13 27629 P
04/17-16 92 95 92 36 95 NNE 12 12 3 1 ESE 24  2664   N 13 28505 P
04/17-17 90 74 59 37 88   N 12 12 3 1   E 23  2874 NNW 12 29381 P
04/17-18 89 52 28 37 82   N 10 16 3 1   E 22  3084 NNW 12 30257 P
04/17-19 89 52 28 36 79   N 10 17 3 1   E 17  2659 NNW 12 25711 P
04/17-20 89 52 28 36 73   N 10 17 3 1   E 12  2235   N 10 21165 P
04/17-21 89 52 28 35 72   N 10 16 3 1   E  7  1810   N 10 16619 P
04/17-22 89 52 28 34 73   N  9 15 3 1   E  7  1728   N  9 13632 P
04/17-23 89 52 28 33 75   N  8 13 2 1 ENE  7  1645 NNE  7 10645 P
04/18-00 76 46 23 33 75   N  7  7 2 1 ENE  7  1563 NNE  6  7657 P
04/18-01 76 46 23 33 75 NNW  6  6 2 1 ENE  8  1412   N  6  6638 P
04/18-02 76 46 23 32 78 NNW  6  6 2 1  NE  9  1261 NNW  5  5619 P
04/18-03 76 46 23 32 78 NNW  6  6 2 1  NE 10  1109  NW  5  4599 P
04/18-04 76 46 23 31 81  NW  6  6 2 1  NE 10  1131  NW  5  4029 P
04/18-05 76 46 23 31 81  NW  6  6 3 1  NE 12  1153 WNW  3  3458 P
04/18-06 72 39 17 31 81 WNW  6  6 3 1  NE 13  1174 WNW  2  2888 P
04/18-07 72 39 17 33 76  NW  6  6 3 1  NE 15  1662  NW  3  5199 P
04/18-08 72 39 17 35 71 NNW  7  7 2 1  NE 17  2150  NW  3  7511 P
04/18-09 72 39 17 38 64 NNW  7  7 2 1  NE 20  2637 NNW  5  9823 P
04/18-10 72 39 17 41 58 NNW  7  7 2 1 NNE 18  4063 NNW  6 21599 P
04/18-11 72 39 17 44 52   N  7  7 2 1 NNE 16  5488   N  7 33374 P
04/18-12 68 43 20 46 49   N  7  7 2 1   N 14  6913   N  8 45150  F
04/18-13 68 43 20 48 46   N  8  8 2 1   N 17  7203   N  9 58707  F
04/18-14 68 43 20 49 45   N  8 14 2 1   N 20  7494   N 12 72264   G
04/18-15 68 43 20 49 46   N  9 15 2 1   N 23  7784 NNW 13 85820   G
04/18-16 68 43 20 49 46   N  9 15 2 1   N 24  7289 NNW 15 89938   G
04/18-17 68 43 20 49 46 NNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 26  6795 NNW 16 94055   G
04/18-18 64 34 13 48 48 NNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 29  6300 NNW 18 98172   G
04/18-19 64 34 13 46 51 NNW  9 14 2 1   N 30  5082   N 20 83379   G
04/18-20 64 34 13 43 58 NNW  8 14 2 1   N 30  3865   N 22 68587   G
04/18-21 64 34 13 41 62 NNW  8 13 2 1   N 31  2647   N 23 53794  F
04/18-22 64 34 13 39 66 NNW  8 13 2 1   N 31  2293   N 22 45077  F
04/18-23 64 34 13 38 68  NW  7  7 2 1   N 32  1938   N 21 36359 P
04/19-00 75 23  5 38 67  NW  7  7 2 1   N 32  1584   N 20 27642 P
04/19-01 75 23  5 37 70  NW  7  7 2 1   N 31  1912   N 22 38247 P
04/19-02 75 23  5 35 75  NW  6  6 2 1   N 29  2239   N 24 48851  F
04/19-03 75 23  5 34 78 NNW  6  6 2 1 NNW 28  2567   N 26 59456  F
04/19-04 75 23  5 33 81 NNW  6  6 2 1 NNW 24  2318   N 23 47086  F
04/19-05 75 23  5 32 83 NNW  6  6 2 1  NW 22  2069   N 18 34715 P
04/19-06 87 27  7 32 82 NNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 20  1820   N 14 22345 P
04/19-07 87 27  7 33 77 NNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  2703   N 15 36662 P
04/19-08 87 27  7 35 70   N  6  6 2 1  NW 25  3586 NNW 16 50979  F
04/19-09 87 27  7 38 62   N  6  6 2 1  NW 28  4469 NNW 17 65295   G
04/19-10 87 27  7 40 57   N  6  6 2 1  NW 29  5319 NNW 15 67390   G
04/19-11 87 27  7 41 55   N  7  7 2 1  NW 30  6170 NNW 14 69484   G
04/19-12 84 27  7 43 51   N  7  7 2 1  NW 31  7021 NNW 12 71578   G
04/19-13 84 27  7 44 49   N  7  7 2 1  NW 31  7512 NNW 12 72258   G
04/19-14 84 27  7 45 47   N  7  7 2 1  NW 32  8002 NNW 10 72937   G
04/19-15 84 27  7 46 45   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 33  8493 NNW 10 73617   G
04/19-16 84 27  7 46 46   N  7  7 2 1  NW 35  7636 NNW  9 60355   G
04/19-17 84 27  7 46 46   N  6  6 2 1  NW 35  6780 NNW  8 47093  F
04/19-18 91 34 13 45 49   N  6  6 2 1  NW 36  5923 NNW  7 33832 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150417.HEILR.01/BOU


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.