Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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000
FNUS73 KLOT 011318
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOLLESTON DUNES U2...INDIANA DUNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
818 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT EAST NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOMING SOUTH AROUND IGNITION
TIME AND INCREASE IN SPEED THE REST OF THE MORNING.  WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 TO 39 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..63.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /21100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /45300 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (44300-79300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........12  10  9   9   11  11  11  11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  61  64  67  69  70  69  67
RH..............44  39  35  32  28  27  30  33
20 FT WIND DIR..170 180 180 180 180 180 180 180
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   8   10  11  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  20  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 2.3 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.210 200 200 200 200 200 190 190
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  20  22  25  29  33  37
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/100021  26  34  45  61  79  66  44

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 41 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6600-25700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........11  15  22  26  28  32  34  40  51  57  62  73
WEATHER COV.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                    RW  RW  RW
TEMP............64  62  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  53  53  53
RH..............38  43  46  51  51  53  53  57  61  66  69  74
20 FT WIND DIR..180 180 180 180 180 180 190 190 180 180 190 190
20 FT WIND SPD..12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  14
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 200 200 200
TRANSP WIND SPD.39  40  41  41  41  41  40  39  38  36  33  32
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/100017  26  24  24  23  22  21  17  13  10  7   7

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..64.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (8100-56800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (17900-61400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........78  80  85  88  90  95  98  94  86  82  76  66
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............55  58  61  64  66  66  66  66  66  64  62  60
RH..............72  69  65  63  63  65  65  63  61  60  62  62
20 FT WIND DIR..200 200 200 210 210 230 230 240 260 270 270 270
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  30  30  30  30  25  20  15  15  10
CWR.............80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
VRATE KT-FT/10008   16  26  38  48  57  61  58  50  40  29  18

$$
FORECASTER...FENELON
REQUESTED BY...MARY FISHER-DUNHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150401.TOLLE.01/LOT


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