Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 051149
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
649 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015/

SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS COVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOUND ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. TODAY WHICH WILL
MEAN MORE DRY WEATHER FOR THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. THE
DRY AND WARM PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY
MORNING IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
EAST OF THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY SO MORE DRY AND WARM
WEATHER WILL BE FOUND FOR BOTH DAYS.

ON FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY REACH WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. BY SATURDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A
LITTLE CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA SO THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY
HIGHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOW DOWN ITS
PROGRESS ON SUNDAY BUT THERE WILL STILL BE SOME THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

BY MONDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL START TO INCREASE ITS MOVEMENT AND
MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA SO THIS WILL BE THE DAY WHEN
THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THE GREATEST. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF SET

VFR. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 8-10 KTS WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS AT JBR. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$



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