Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 011240
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARABOO SOUTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
740 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND BECOME STRONG
AND GUSTY BY AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

WARM AIR ADVECTING IN ON THE GUSTY WINDS WILL RAISE TEMPERATURES
TO AROUND 70 AT YOUR LOCATION.

MOISTURE ADVECTING IN WITH THE WARM AIR WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVEL AROUND 30 PERCENT...AND
WITH THE FUEL MOISTURE RATINGS NOT REACHING HEADLINE THRESHOLDS
...NO HEADLINE IS ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY. HOWEVER CONDITIONS WILL
RAISE THE FIRE DANGER TO NEAR-CRITICAL LEVELS IN YOUR AREA.

LOOK FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING
FROM THE MAIN LOW SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE. THURSDAY WILL BE ONLY A
BIT COOLER THAN TODAY WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES DIPPING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /24400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /47500 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (53200-70600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     55     63     68     69
RH..............56     45     35     31     31
20 FT WIND......140 6  150 8  170 11 180 15 190 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     25     30     30
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 89 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (44500-72900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     63     59     58     57     54
RH..............33     41     51     53     59     80
20 FT WIND......190 14 190 14 190 14 210 14 210 10 220 7
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     25     25     20     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      2      3

$$
FORECASTER...REM
REQUESTED BY...BEN HALVERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150401.BARAB.01/MKX


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